Current forecast consensus from meteorological agencies and models points to a daily maximum of 33–34°C in Chongqing on August 21, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure over the Sichuan Basin that limits cloud cover and promotes strong daytime heating, combined with typical late-summer humidity that restricts overnight cooling. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 32–35°C under similar synoptic patterns, with recent model runs aligning closely on this range and only modest day-to-day variability from scattered thundershowers. Trader-implied probabilities cluster around these outcomes because official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates limited potential for extremes below 32°C or above 35°C without a significant shift in steering flow or moisture. Updated model runs and observational data on the 21st will determine the final recorded high used for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 21?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 21?
33°C 35%
34°C 23%
32°C 16%
35°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
16%
33°C
35%
34°C
23%
35°C
11%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 35%
34°C 23%
32°C 16%
35°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
28°C or below
$53 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$264 Wol.
2%
30°C
$75 Wol.
3%
31°C
$367 Wol.
4%
32°C
$380 Wol.
16%
33°C
$610 Wol.
35%
34°C
$395 Wol.
23%
35°C
$245 Wol.
11%
36°C
$835 Wol.
2%
37°C
$60 Wol.
1%
38°C or higher
$133 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from meteorological agencies and models points to a daily maximum of 33–34°C in Chongqing on August 21, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure over the Sichuan Basin that limits cloud cover and promotes strong daytime heating, combined with typical late-summer humidity that restricts overnight cooling. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 32–35°C under similar synoptic patterns, with recent model runs aligning closely on this range and only modest day-to-day variability from scattered thundershowers. Trader-implied probabilities cluster around these outcomes because official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates limited potential for extremes below 32°C or above 35°C without a significant shift in steering flow or moisture. Updated model runs and observational data on the 21st will determine the final recorded high used for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,416Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from meteorological agencies and models points to a daily maximum of 33–34°C in Chongqing on August 21, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure over the Sichuan Basin that limits cloud cover and promotes strong daytime heating, combined with typical late-summer humidity that restricts overnight cooling. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 32–35°C under similar synoptic patterns, with recent model runs aligning closely on this range and only modest day-to-day variability from scattered thundershowers. Trader-implied probabilities cluster around these outcomes because official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates limited potential for extremes below 32°C or above 35°C without a significant shift in steering flow or moisture. Updated model runs and observational data on the 21st will determine the final recorded high used for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,416Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from meteorological agencies and models points to a daily maximum of 33–34°C in Chongqing on August 21, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure over the Sichuan Basin that limits cloud cover and promotes strong daytime heating, combined with typical late-summer humidity that restricts overnight cooling. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 32–35°C under similar synoptic patterns, with recent model runs aligning closely on this range and only modest day-to-day variability from scattered thundershowers. Trader-implied probabilities cluster around these outcomes because official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates limited potential for extremes below 32°C or above 35°C without a significant shift in steering flow or moisture. Updated model runs and observational data on the 21st will determine the final recorded high used for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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