Recent forecasts from INMET and international models indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions over São Paulo on August 21, with daytime highs likely peaking near 25–27°C amid late-winter subtropical high pressure favoring solar heating and light winds. This setup, combined with urban heat island effects and typical boundary-layer warming, underpins the market’s concentration on 25°C (48.5%) and 26°C (38.5%) outcomes, while the 12.5% chance for 27°C reflects limited upside from any model consensus on stronger insolation. Traders weigh these against August climatological averages of 23–25°C highs, noting that small revisions in advection or cloud cover from updated runs could shift the daily maximum by 1°C before official observations finalize the result.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 21?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 21?
25°C 45%
26°C 40%
27°C 13%
24°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
45%
26°C
40%
27°C
13%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
25°C 45%
26°C 40%
27°C 13%
24°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
20°C or below
$42 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$42 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$30 Wol.
1%
23°C
$25 Wol.
2%
24°C
$66 Wol.
8%
25°C
$109 Wol.
45%
26°C
$75 Wol.
40%
27°C
$80 Wol.
13%
28°C
$27 Wol.
2%
29°C
$14 Wol.
2%
30°C or higher
$5 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from INMET and international models indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions over São Paulo on August 21, with daytime highs likely peaking near 25–27°C amid late-winter subtropical high pressure favoring solar heating and light winds. This setup, combined with urban heat island effects and typical boundary-layer warming, underpins the market’s concentration on 25°C (48.5%) and 26°C (38.5%) outcomes, while the 12.5% chance for 27°C reflects limited upside from any model consensus on stronger insolation. Traders weigh these against August climatological averages of 23–25°C highs, noting that small revisions in advection or cloud cover from updated runs could shift the daily maximum by 1°C before official observations finalize the result.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 19, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Wolumen
$514Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 9:55 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from INMET and international models indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions over São Paulo on August 21, with daytime highs likely peaking near 25–27°C amid late-winter subtropical high pressure favoring solar heating and light winds. This setup, combined with urban heat island effects and typical boundary-layer warming, underpins the market’s concentration on 25°C (48.5%) and 26°C (38.5%) outcomes, while the 12.5% chance for 27°C reflects limited upside from any model consensus on stronger insolation. Traders weigh these against August climatological averages of 23–25°C highs, noting that small revisions in advection or cloud cover from updated runs could shift the daily maximum by 1°C before official observations finalize the result.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$514Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 9:55 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from INMET and international models indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions over São Paulo on August 21, with daytime highs likely peaking near 25–27°C amid late-winter subtropical high pressure favoring solar heating and light winds. This setup, combined with urban heat island effects and typical boundary-layer warming, underpins the market’s concentration on 25°C (48.5%) and 26°C (38.5%) outcomes, while the 12.5% chance for 27°C reflects limited upside from any model consensus on stronger insolation. Traders weigh these against August climatological averages of 23–25°C highs, noting that small revisions in advection or cloud cover from updated runs could shift the daily maximum by 1°C before official observations finalize the result.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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