**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s August 21 maximum temperature centers on 20–22°C outcomes, with 21°C holding the highest implied probability at 38%.** This reflects current forecast guidance from sources such as AccuWeather (projecting ~20°C), the UK Met Office (~20°C), and other models showing 19–22°C, consistent with a post-cold-front stabilization period. August is mid-winter in Cape Town’s Mediterranean climate, where the cold Benguela Current and prevailing westerlies normally keep daily highs near the 17–18°C seasonal average. Recent mid-August cold fronts maintained cooler conditions along the southwest coast, but the latest SAWS outlook indicates fine to partly cloudy skies and lighter winds for 20–21 August. These conditions reduce marine cooling and allow modest daytime warming, elevating probabilities for a peak in the low 20s Celsius without reaching atypical heat. Model consensus and historical August variability—highs occasionally reaching 22–23°C under clear, subsiding air—support the market’s clustering around 21–22°C as the most probable range. Near-term updates from official agencies on wind patterns and cloud cover will be the key drivers of any shifts in these implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 21?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 21?
21°C 38%
22°C 26%
20°C 17%
23°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
6%
20°C
17%
21°C
38%
22°C
26%
23°C
12%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
21°C 38%
22°C 26%
20°C 17%
23°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
16°C or below
$97 Wol.
1%
17°C
$63 Wol.
1%
18°C
$77 Wol.
5%
19°C
$0 Wol.
6%
20°C
$5 Wol.
17%
21°C
$10 Wol.
38%
22°C
$24 Wol.
26%
23°C
$152 Wol.
12%
24°C
$5 Wol.
5%
25°C
$54 Wol.
1%
26°C or higher
$107 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s August 21 maximum temperature centers on 20–22°C outcomes, with 21°C holding the highest implied probability at 38%.** This reflects current forecast guidance from sources such as AccuWeather (projecting ~20°C), the UK Met Office (~20°C), and other models showing 19–22°C, consistent with a post-cold-front stabilization period.
August is mid-winter in Cape Town’s Mediterranean climate, where the cold Benguela Current and prevailing westerlies normally keep daily highs near the 17–18°C seasonal average. Recent mid-August cold fronts maintained cooler conditions along the southwest coast, but the latest SAWS outlook indicates fine to partly cloudy skies and lighter winds for 20–21 August. These conditions reduce marine cooling and allow modest daytime warming, elevating probabilities for a peak in the low 20s Celsius without reaching atypical heat.
Model consensus and historical August variability—highs occasionally reaching 22–23°C under clear, subsiding air—support the market’s clustering around 21–22°C as the most probable range. Near-term updates from official agencies on wind patterns and cloud cover will be the key drivers of any shifts in these implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$594Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s August 21 maximum temperature centers on 20–22°C outcomes, with 21°C holding the highest implied probability at 38%.** This reflects current forecast guidance from sources such as AccuWeather (projecting ~20°C), the UK Met Office (~20°C), and other models showing 19–22°C, consistent with a post-cold-front stabilization period.
August is mid-winter in Cape Town’s Mediterranean climate, where the cold Benguela Current and prevailing westerlies normally keep daily highs near the 17–18°C seasonal average. Recent mid-August cold fronts maintained cooler conditions along the southwest coast, but the latest SAWS outlook indicates fine to partly cloudy skies and lighter winds for 20–21 August. These conditions reduce marine cooling and allow modest daytime warming, elevating probabilities for a peak in the low 20s Celsius without reaching atypical heat.
Model consensus and historical August variability—highs occasionally reaching 22–23°C under clear, subsiding air—support the market’s clustering around 21–22°C as the most probable range. Near-term updates from official agencies on wind patterns and cloud cover will be the key drivers of any shifts in these implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$594Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s August 21 maximum temperature centers on 20–22°C outcomes, with 21°C holding the highest implied probability at 38%.** This reflects current forecast guidance from sources such as AccuWeather (projecting ~20°C), the UK Met Office (~20°C), and other models showing 19–22°C, consistent with a post-cold-front stabilization period. August is mid-winter in Cape Town’s Mediterranean climate, where the cold Benguela Current and prevailing westerlies normally keep daily highs near the 17–18°C seasonal average. Recent mid-August cold fronts maintained cooler conditions along the southwest coast, but the latest SAWS outlook indicates fine to partly cloudy skies and lighter winds for 20–21 August. These conditions reduce marine cooling and allow modest daytime warming, elevating probabilities for a peak in the low 20s Celsius without reaching atypical heat. Model consensus and historical August variability—highs occasionally reaching 22–23°C under clear, subsiding air—support the market’s clustering around 21–22°C as the most probable range. Near-term updates from official agencies on wind patterns and cloud cover will be the key drivers of any shifts in these implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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