**Forecast models for Shenzhen on August 21, 2026, indicate a daily maximum near 30–32 °C amid frequent thundershowers and heavy monsoon rainfall.** Multiple sources, including timeanddate, BBC Weather, and the UK Met Office, project highs of 30–31 °C (87–88 °F) with overcast skies, isolated or thundershowers, and highs potentially tempered by reduced solar insolation. Historical August averages hover around 32 °C, but persistent cloud cover and precipitation in the current pattern suppress peaks. **Trader consensus clusters on 30–32 °C because small variations in rainfall timing, convective intensity, and steering winds can shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C.** Subtropical monsoon dynamics, high humidity (>75 %), and urban heat-island effects create narrow margins; stronger afternoon storms cool surfaces faster, favoring 30 °C outcomes, while brief clear spells allow brief warming toward 32 °C. No major tropical cyclone is currently forecast to alter the pattern directly. **Upcoming NHC or China Meteorological Administration updates on storm tracks and local model runs will refine these probabilities before resolution.** The tight spread around 30–31 °C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty typical of convective summer regimes rather than a single dominant driver.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 21?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 21?
31°C 29%
30°C 17%
32°C 16%
29°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
12%
30°C
17%
31°C
29%
32°C
16%
33°C
8%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
4%
31°C 29%
30°C 17%
32°C 16%
29°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
25°C or below
$127 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$35 Wol.
3%
27°C
$99 Wol.
3%
28°C
$60 Wol.
7%
29°C
$26 Wol.
12%
30°C
$44 Wol.
17%
31°C
$40 Wol.
29%
32°C
$44 Wol.
16%
33°C
$94 Wol.
8%
34°C
$102 Wol.
4%
35°C or higher
$47 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Shenzhen on August 21, 2026, indicate a daily maximum near 30–32 °C amid frequent thundershowers and heavy monsoon rainfall.** Multiple sources, including timeanddate, BBC Weather, and the UK Met Office, project highs of 30–31 °C (87–88 °F) with overcast skies, isolated or thundershowers, and highs potentially tempered by reduced solar insolation. Historical August averages hover around 32 °C, but persistent cloud cover and precipitation in the current pattern suppress peaks.
**Trader consensus clusters on 30–32 °C because small variations in rainfall timing, convective intensity, and steering winds can shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C.** Subtropical monsoon dynamics, high humidity (>75 %), and urban heat-island effects create narrow margins; stronger afternoon storms cool surfaces faster, favoring 30 °C outcomes, while brief clear spells allow brief warming toward 32 °C. No major tropical cyclone is currently forecast to alter the pattern directly.
**Upcoming NHC or China Meteorological Administration updates on storm tracks and local model runs will refine these probabilities before resolution.** The tight spread around 30–31 °C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty typical of convective summer regimes rather than a single dominant driver.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$717Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Shenzhen on August 21, 2026, indicate a daily maximum near 30–32 °C amid frequent thundershowers and heavy monsoon rainfall.** Multiple sources, including timeanddate, BBC Weather, and the UK Met Office, project highs of 30–31 °C (87–88 °F) with overcast skies, isolated or thundershowers, and highs potentially tempered by reduced solar insolation. Historical August averages hover around 32 °C, but persistent cloud cover and precipitation in the current pattern suppress peaks.
**Trader consensus clusters on 30–32 °C because small variations in rainfall timing, convective intensity, and steering winds can shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C.** Subtropical monsoon dynamics, high humidity (>75 %), and urban heat-island effects create narrow margins; stronger afternoon storms cool surfaces faster, favoring 30 °C outcomes, while brief clear spells allow brief warming toward 32 °C. No major tropical cyclone is currently forecast to alter the pattern directly.
**Upcoming NHC or China Meteorological Administration updates on storm tracks and local model runs will refine these probabilities before resolution.** The tight spread around 30–31 °C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty typical of convective summer regimes rather than a single dominant driver.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$717Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Shenzhen on August 21, 2026, indicate a daily maximum near 30–32 °C amid frequent thundershowers and heavy monsoon rainfall.** Multiple sources, including timeanddate, BBC Weather, and the UK Met Office, project highs of 30–31 °C (87–88 °F) with overcast skies, isolated or thundershowers, and highs potentially tempered by reduced solar insolation. Historical August averages hover around 32 °C, but persistent cloud cover and precipitation in the current pattern suppress peaks. **Trader consensus clusters on 30–32 °C because small variations in rainfall timing, convective intensity, and steering winds can shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C.** Subtropical monsoon dynamics, high humidity (>75 %), and urban heat-island effects create narrow margins; stronger afternoon storms cool surfaces faster, favoring 30 °C outcomes, while brief clear spells allow brief warming toward 32 °C. No major tropical cyclone is currently forecast to alter the pattern directly. **Upcoming NHC or China Meteorological Administration updates on storm tracks and local model runs will refine these probabilities before resolution.** The tight spread around 30–31 °C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty typical of convective summer regimes rather than a single dominant driver.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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