Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and ensemble models indicate east to northeast winds of force 4–5, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms on August 19, 2026, which suppress daytime solar heating and position 32°C as the market leader at 62% implied probability. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns, where persistent cloud cover and precipitation limit peaks near the seasonal average high of 32°C, while high humidity reduces radiative cooling overnight. Normal to above-normal August temperatures per seasonal outlooks reflect broader warming trends, yet current model consensus favors 32–33°C maxima over higher values, with fresh observatory updates and model runs expected to refine trader positioning before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
32°C 70%
33°C 23%
31°C 8%
34°C 1.2%
NOWE
$98,266 Wol.
NOWE
$98,266 Wol.
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
8%
32°C
70%
33°C
23%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 70%
33°C 23%
31°C 8%
34°C 1.2%
NOWE
$98,266 Wol.
NOWE
$98,266 Wol.
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
$989 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$2,645 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$5,022 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$11,909 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$22,207 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$14,521 Wol.
8%
32°C
$13,114 Wol.
70%
33°C
$11,456 Wol.
23%
34°C
$11,095 Wol.
1%
35°C
$3,549 Wol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$1,758 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and ensemble models indicate east to northeast winds of force 4–5, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms on August 19, 2026, which suppress daytime solar heating and position 32°C as the market leader at 62% implied probability. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns, where persistent cloud cover and precipitation limit peaks near the seasonal average high of 32°C, while high humidity reduces radiative cooling overnight. Normal to above-normal August temperatures per seasonal outlooks reflect broader warming trends, yet current model consensus favors 32–33°C maxima over higher values, with fresh observatory updates and model runs expected to refine trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$98,266Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and ensemble models indicate east to northeast winds of force 4–5, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms on August 19, 2026, which suppress daytime solar heating and position 32°C as the market leader at 62% implied probability. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns, where persistent cloud cover and precipitation limit peaks near the seasonal average high of 32°C, while high humidity reduces radiative cooling overnight. Normal to above-normal August temperatures per seasonal outlooks reflect broader warming trends, yet current model consensus favors 32–33°C maxima over higher values, with fresh observatory updates and model runs expected to refine trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$98,266Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and ensemble models indicate east to northeast winds of force 4–5, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms on August 19, 2026, which suppress daytime solar heating and position 32°C as the market leader at 62% implied probability. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns, where persistent cloud cover and precipitation limit peaks near the seasonal average high of 32°C, while high humidity reduces radiative cooling overnight. Normal to above-normal August temperatures per seasonal outlooks reflect broader warming trends, yet current model consensus favors 32–33°C maxima over higher values, with fresh observatory updates and model runs expected to refine trader positioning before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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