Latest National Weather Service point forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport project a high near 105°F on August 18 under persistent high pressure and mostly sunny skies, aligning with the market’s leading 104-105°F bin at 42% implied probability. Strong subsidence inhibits cloud development and convection, allowing efficient surface heating amid already elevated soil and air temperatures from the ongoing late-summer heat pattern. Model consensus shows limited moisture return or frontal passage through the period, keeping daytime maxima in the 103-106°F range while upper-level ridging maintains clear conditions. Historical August climatology places normal highs near 96°F, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly that traders appear to have priced into the 104-107°F outcomes. Updated NWS guidance and next model runs will provide the key near-term data points.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Dallas on August 18?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 18?
104-105°F 51%
102-103°F 26%
106-107°F 24%
108-109°F 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
97°F or below
1%
98-99°F
5%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
21%
104-105°F
44%
106-107°F
24%
108-109°F
13%
110-111°F
4%
112-113°F
2%
114-115°F
1%
116°F or higher
1%
104-105°F 51%
102-103°F 26%
106-107°F 24%
108-109°F 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
97°F or below
$5 Wol.
1%
98-99°F
$10 Wol.
5%
100-101°F
$0 Wol.
5%
102-103°F
$5 Wol.
21%
104-105°F
$551 Wol.
44%
106-107°F
$124 Wol.
24%
108-109°F
$146 Wol.
13%
110-111°F
$77 Wol.
4%
112-113°F
$5 Wol.
2%
114-115°F
$5 Wol.
1%
116°F or higher
$0 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service point forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport project a high near 105°F on August 18 under persistent high pressure and mostly sunny skies, aligning with the market’s leading 104-105°F bin at 42% implied probability. Strong subsidence inhibits cloud development and convection, allowing efficient surface heating amid already elevated soil and air temperatures from the ongoing late-summer heat pattern. Model consensus shows limited moisture return or frontal passage through the period, keeping daytime maxima in the 103-106°F range while upper-level ridging maintains clear conditions. Historical August climatology places normal highs near 96°F, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly that traders appear to have priced into the 104-107°F outcomes. Updated NWS guidance and next model runs will provide the key near-term data points.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$928Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service point forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport project a high near 105°F on August 18 under persistent high pressure and mostly sunny skies, aligning with the market’s leading 104-105°F bin at 42% implied probability. Strong subsidence inhibits cloud development and convection, allowing efficient surface heating amid already elevated soil and air temperatures from the ongoing late-summer heat pattern. Model consensus shows limited moisture return or frontal passage through the period, keeping daytime maxima in the 103-106°F range while upper-level ridging maintains clear conditions. Historical August climatology places normal highs near 96°F, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly that traders appear to have priced into the 104-107°F outcomes. Updated NWS guidance and next model runs will provide the key near-term data points.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$928Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service point forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport project a high near 105°F on August 18 under persistent high pressure and mostly sunny skies, aligning with the market’s leading 104-105°F bin at 42% implied probability. Strong subsidence inhibits cloud development and convection, allowing efficient surface heating amid already elevated soil and air temperatures from the ongoing late-summer heat pattern. Model consensus shows limited moisture return or frontal passage through the period, keeping daytime maxima in the 103-106°F range while upper-level ridging maintains clear conditions. Historical August climatology places normal highs near 96°F, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly that traders appear to have priced into the 104-107°F outcomes. Updated NWS guidance and next model runs will provide the key near-term data points.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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