Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate project a high of 25–26°C (77–78°F) for Mexico City on August 18, 2026, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes of 26°C (48.5%) and 25°C (28.0%). High elevation near 2,240 meters moderates temperatures year-round, while the ongoing rainy season—driven by tropical waves—brings afternoon cloud cover, showers, and evaporative cooling that typically caps daily maxima in the mid-20s°C. Model consensus emphasizes these factors over any strong warming signal, with low probabilities assigned to extremes above 28°C or below 23°C reflecting the narrow historical and current forecast range. Updated numerical weather predictions and satellite observations of regional moisture will further refine trader assessments ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 18?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 18?
26°C 48%
25°C 24%
24°C 14%
27°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
9%
24°C
14%
25°C
24%
26°C
48%
27°C
12%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 48%
25°C 24%
24°C 14%
27°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
20°C or below
$5 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Wol.
1%
23°C
$57 Wol.
9%
24°C
$6 Wol.
14%
25°C
$18 Wol.
24%
26°C
$143 Wol.
48%
27°C
$0 Wol.
12%
28°C
$0 Wol.
4%
29°C
$5 Wol.
1%
30°C or higher
$5 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate project a high of 25–26°C (77–78°F) for Mexico City on August 18, 2026, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes of 26°C (48.5%) and 25°C (28.0%). High elevation near 2,240 meters moderates temperatures year-round, while the ongoing rainy season—driven by tropical waves—brings afternoon cloud cover, showers, and evaporative cooling that typically caps daily maxima in the mid-20s°C. Model consensus emphasizes these factors over any strong warming signal, with low probabilities assigned to extremes above 28°C or below 23°C reflecting the narrow historical and current forecast range. Updated numerical weather predictions and satellite observations of regional moisture will further refine trader assessments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$239Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate project a high of 25–26°C (77–78°F) for Mexico City on August 18, 2026, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes of 26°C (48.5%) and 25°C (28.0%). High elevation near 2,240 meters moderates temperatures year-round, while the ongoing rainy season—driven by tropical waves—brings afternoon cloud cover, showers, and evaporative cooling that typically caps daily maxima in the mid-20s°C. Model consensus emphasizes these factors over any strong warming signal, with low probabilities assigned to extremes above 28°C or below 23°C reflecting the narrow historical and current forecast range. Updated numerical weather predictions and satellite observations of regional moisture will further refine trader assessments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$239Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate project a high of 25–26°C (77–78°F) for Mexico City on August 18, 2026, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes of 26°C (48.5%) and 25°C (28.0%). High elevation near 2,240 meters moderates temperatures year-round, while the ongoing rainy season—driven by tropical waves—brings afternoon cloud cover, showers, and evaporative cooling that typically caps daily maxima in the mid-20s°C. Model consensus emphasizes these factors over any strong warming signal, with low probabilities assigned to extremes above 28°C or below 23°C reflecting the narrow historical and current forecast range. Updated numerical weather predictions and satellite observations of regional moisture will further refine trader assessments ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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