Recent forecasts from models tracking Guangzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate place the August 23 maximum near 34–35 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities of 32.0 % and 31.5 %. Day-to-day differences hinge on cloud cover, afternoon convection, and boundary-layer moisture drawn from the South China Sea; reduced insolation or scattered showers can cap readings at 34 °C, while clearer, drier conditions allow brief spikes toward 35 °C. Historical August highs average 32–33 °C with a 10–90 % range rarely exceeding 36 °C, underscoring the narrow uncertainty traders are pricing. Updated regional model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 23?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 23?
34°C 33%
35°C 32%
36°C 16%
33°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
14%
34°C
33%
35°C
32%
36°C
16%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 33%
35°C 32%
36°C 16%
33°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
29°C or below
$667 Wol.
1%
30°C
$400 Wol.
1%
31°C
$181 Wol.
2%
32°C
$196 Wol.
5%
33°C
$119 Wol.
14%
34°C
$219 Wol.
33%
35°C
$242 Wol.
32%
36°C
$425 Wol.
16%
37°C
$903 Wol.
4%
38°C
$113 Wol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$180 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models tracking Guangzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate place the August 23 maximum near 34–35 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities of 32.0 % and 31.5 %. Day-to-day differences hinge on cloud cover, afternoon convection, and boundary-layer moisture drawn from the South China Sea; reduced insolation or scattered showers can cap readings at 34 °C, while clearer, drier conditions allow brief spikes toward 35 °C. Historical August highs average 32–33 °C with a 10–90 % range rarely exceeding 36 °C, underscoring the narrow uncertainty traders are pricing. Updated regional model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,643Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models tracking Guangzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate place the August 23 maximum near 34–35 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities of 32.0 % and 31.5 %. Day-to-day differences hinge on cloud cover, afternoon convection, and boundary-layer moisture drawn from the South China Sea; reduced insolation or scattered showers can cap readings at 34 °C, while clearer, drier conditions allow brief spikes toward 35 °C. Historical August highs average 32–33 °C with a 10–90 % range rarely exceeding 36 °C, underscoring the narrow uncertainty traders are pricing. Updated regional model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,643Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models tracking Guangzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate place the August 23 maximum near 34–35 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities of 32.0 % and 31.5 %. Day-to-day differences hinge on cloud cover, afternoon convection, and boundary-layer moisture drawn from the South China Sea; reduced insolation or scattered showers can cap readings at 34 °C, while clearer, drier conditions allow brief spikes toward 35 °C. Historical August highs average 32–33 °C with a 10–90 % range rarely exceeding 36 °C, underscoring the narrow uncertainty traders are pricing. Updated regional model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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