Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a maximum of 32°C in Tokyo on August 21 under cloudy skies with scattered showers and 30-70% precipitation probability, moderating peak heating relative to clear-sky potential. This aligns with typical late-summer patterns where urban heat islands and high humidity sustain 30-33°C readings, yet increased cloud cover and moisture reduce insolation and limit extremes above 33°C. Market-implied probabilities favoring 30-31°C reflect trader assessment of these stabilizing effects from model consensus, while the smaller share for 32°C accounts for residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or shower intensity. Historical August baselines around 31°C provide context, with official updates expected to refine resolution criteria tied to precise daily maxima.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 21?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 21?
31°C 43%
30°C 26%
32°C 23%
29°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
26%
31°C
43%
32°C
23%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 43%
30°C 26%
32°C 23%
29°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
25°C or below
$2,250 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$2,448 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$316 Wol.
1%
28°C
$284 Wol.
2%
29°C
$228 Wol.
6%
30°C
$793 Wol.
26%
31°C
$710 Wol.
43%
32°C
$993 Wol.
23%
33°C
$308 Wol.
4%
34°C
$224 Wol.
2%
35°C or higher
$370 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a maximum of 32°C in Tokyo on August 21 under cloudy skies with scattered showers and 30-70% precipitation probability, moderating peak heating relative to clear-sky potential. This aligns with typical late-summer patterns where urban heat islands and high humidity sustain 30-33°C readings, yet increased cloud cover and moisture reduce insolation and limit extremes above 33°C. Market-implied probabilities favoring 30-31°C reflect trader assessment of these stabilizing effects from model consensus, while the smaller share for 32°C accounts for residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or shower intensity. Historical August baselines around 31°C provide context, with official updates expected to refine resolution criteria tied to precise daily maxima.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,924Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a maximum of 32°C in Tokyo on August 21 under cloudy skies with scattered showers and 30-70% precipitation probability, moderating peak heating relative to clear-sky potential. This aligns with typical late-summer patterns where urban heat islands and high humidity sustain 30-33°C readings, yet increased cloud cover and moisture reduce insolation and limit extremes above 33°C. Market-implied probabilities favoring 30-31°C reflect trader assessment of these stabilizing effects from model consensus, while the smaller share for 32°C accounts for residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or shower intensity. Historical August baselines around 31°C provide context, with official updates expected to refine resolution criteria tied to precise daily maxima.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,924Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a maximum of 32°C in Tokyo on August 21 under cloudy skies with scattered showers and 30-70% precipitation probability, moderating peak heating relative to clear-sky potential. This aligns with typical late-summer patterns where urban heat islands and high humidity sustain 30-33°C readings, yet increased cloud cover and moisture reduce insolation and limit extremes above 33°C. Market-implied probabilities favoring 30-31°C reflect trader assessment of these stabilizing effects from model consensus, while the smaller share for 32°C accounts for residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or shower intensity. Historical August baselines around 31°C provide context, with official updates expected to refine resolution criteria tied to precise daily maxima.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania