Market-implied odds strongly favor 36°C as Wuhan's daily maximum, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's high-temperature orange warning issued early on August 22 and ensemble forecasts showing afternoon peaks near 35–36°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers. Subtropical summer conditions, elevated dew points supporting heat retention, and recent precedent of 37–39°C readings in the prior week keep 37°C in play at low probability, while scattered convection and northerly flow introduce modest cooling risk that caps upside. Official station data and real-time updates through evening will resolve the market as the final observed high is confirmed.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 22?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 22?
36°C 88%
37°C 15%
38°C <1%
39°C or higher <1%
$23,546 Wol.
$23,546 Wol.
Aug 22, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
83%
37°C
15%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 88%
37°C 15%
38°C <1%
39°C or higher <1%
$23,546 Wol.
$23,546 Wol.
Aug 22, 2026
29°C or below
$331 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$319 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$348 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$2,993 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$1,715 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$5,485 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$2,979 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$1,946 Wol.
83%
37°C
$2,718 Wol.
15%
38°C
$3,852 Wol.
1%
39°C or higher
$861 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds strongly favor 36°C as Wuhan's daily maximum, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's high-temperature orange warning issued early on August 22 and ensemble forecasts showing afternoon peaks near 35–36°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers. Subtropical summer conditions, elevated dew points supporting heat retention, and recent precedent of 37–39°C readings in the prior week keep 37°C in play at low probability, while scattered convection and northerly flow introduce modest cooling risk that caps upside. Official station data and real-time updates through evening will resolve the market as the final observed high is confirmed.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$23,546Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds strongly favor 36°C as Wuhan's daily maximum, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's high-temperature orange warning issued early on August 22 and ensemble forecasts showing afternoon peaks near 35–36°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers. Subtropical summer conditions, elevated dew points supporting heat retention, and recent precedent of 37–39°C readings in the prior week keep 37°C in play at low probability, while scattered convection and northerly flow introduce modest cooling risk that caps upside. Official station data and real-time updates through evening will resolve the market as the final observed high is confirmed.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$23,546Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds strongly favor 36°C as Wuhan's daily maximum, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's high-temperature orange warning issued early on August 22 and ensemble forecasts showing afternoon peaks near 35–36°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers. Subtropical summer conditions, elevated dew points supporting heat retention, and recent precedent of 37–39°C readings in the prior week keep 37°C in play at low probability, while scattered convection and northerly flow introduce modest cooling risk that caps upside. Official station data and real-time updates through evening will resolve the market as the final observed high is confirmed.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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