Recent model runs from GFS and other global ensembles indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on August 24 will likely fall in the 12–14°C range, driven by a cooler northwesterly air mass, increasing westerly winds of 10–15 mph, and partial cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. This follows a sharp cooldown from mid-August highs near 25°C, with the Hydrometeorological Center already recording a +9°C low on August 22. Historical averages place the August 24 low near 11.8°C, but current steering patterns and modest shower chances introduce modest uncertainty around the exact minimum. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of these variables and potential last-minute model shifts ahead of official Rosgidromet updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Moscow on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 24?
9°C or below 98%
19°C or higher 55%
16°C 37%
17°C 37%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
98%
10°C
19%
11°C
19%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
37%
17°C
37%
18°C
37%
19°C or higher
55%
9°C or below 98%
19°C or higher 55%
16°C 37%
17°C 37%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
$5 Wol.
98%
10°C
$0 Wol.
19%
11°C
$0 Wol.
19%
12°C
$0 Wol.
19%
13°C
$0 Wol.
19%
14°C
$0 Wol.
19%
15°C
$4 Wol.
19%
16°C
$5 Wol.
37%
17°C
$5 Wol.
37%
18°C
$5 Wol.
37%
19°C or higher
$5 Wol.
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from GFS and other global ensembles indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on August 24 will likely fall in the 12–14°C range, driven by a cooler northwesterly air mass, increasing westerly winds of 10–15 mph, and partial cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. This follows a sharp cooldown from mid-August highs near 25°C, with the Hydrometeorological Center already recording a +9°C low on August 22. Historical averages place the August 24 low near 11.8°C, but current steering patterns and modest shower chances introduce modest uncertainty around the exact minimum. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of these variables and potential last-minute model shifts ahead of official Rosgidromet updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$29Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from GFS and other global ensembles indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on August 24 will likely fall in the 12–14°C range, driven by a cooler northwesterly air mass, increasing westerly winds of 10–15 mph, and partial cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. This follows a sharp cooldown from mid-August highs near 25°C, with the Hydrometeorological Center already recording a +9°C low on August 22. Historical averages place the August 24 low near 11.8°C, but current steering patterns and modest shower chances introduce modest uncertainty around the exact minimum. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of these variables and potential last-minute model shifts ahead of official Rosgidromet updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$29Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from GFS and other global ensembles indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on August 24 will likely fall in the 12–14°C range, driven by a cooler northwesterly air mass, increasing westerly winds of 10–15 mph, and partial cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. This follows a sharp cooldown from mid-August highs near 25°C, with the Hydrometeorological Center already recording a +9°C low on August 22. Historical averages place the August 24 low near 11.8°C, but current steering patterns and modest shower chances introduce modest uncertainty around the exact minimum. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of these variables and potential last-minute model shifts ahead of official Rosgidromet updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania