Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Met Office models, consistent with KNMI guidance, show peak daytime temperatures in Amsterdam on August 24 most likely reaching 21–22°C under moderate westerly flow and partial cloud cover. This narrow range reflects typical late-summer cooling after earlier heat episodes, with surface high pressure limiting strong advection while diurnal heating remains modest. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage, which could shift maxima by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places late-August averages near 21–22°C, supporting the current market clustering. Updated model runs and KNMI daily briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
22°C 45%
21°C 37%
20°C 12%
23°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
12%
21°C
37%
22°C
45%
23°C
10%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C or higher
2%
22°C 45%
21°C 37%
20°C 12%
23°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
$10 Wol.
1%
18°C
$10 Wol.
1%
19°C
$5 Wol.
3%
20°C
$10 Wol.
12%
21°C
$89 Wol.
37%
22°C
$158 Wol.
45%
23°C
$10 Wol.
10%
24°C
$10 Wol.
5%
25°C
$3 Wol.
2%
26°C
$5 Wol.
4%
27°C or higher
$5 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Met Office models, consistent with KNMI guidance, show peak daytime temperatures in Amsterdam on August 24 most likely reaching 21–22°C under moderate westerly flow and partial cloud cover. This narrow range reflects typical late-summer cooling after earlier heat episodes, with surface high pressure limiting strong advection while diurnal heating remains modest. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage, which could shift maxima by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places late-August averages near 21–22°C, supporting the current market clustering. Updated model runs and KNMI daily briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$315Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Met Office models, consistent with KNMI guidance, show peak daytime temperatures in Amsterdam on August 24 most likely reaching 21–22°C under moderate westerly flow and partial cloud cover. This narrow range reflects typical late-summer cooling after earlier heat episodes, with surface high pressure limiting strong advection while diurnal heating remains modest. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage, which could shift maxima by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places late-August averages near 21–22°C, supporting the current market clustering. Updated model runs and KNMI daily briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$315Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Met Office models, consistent with KNMI guidance, show peak daytime temperatures in Amsterdam on August 24 most likely reaching 21–22°C under moderate westerly flow and partial cloud cover. This narrow range reflects typical late-summer cooling after earlier heat episodes, with surface high pressure limiting strong advection while diurnal heating remains modest. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage, which could shift maxima by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places late-August averages near 21–22°C, supporting the current market clustering. Updated model runs and KNMI daily briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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