Latest ensemble forecasts indicate Moscow's August 24 maximum will likely fall between 20–23°C amid typical late-summer variability, with model consensus pointing to partly cloudy conditions and moderate southwesterly flow that limits daytime heating. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range and inherent short-term forecast uncertainty, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or timing of any frontal passage could push readings above or below key thresholds. Historical August highs average near 22–24°C, providing context for the current balanced market-implied odds. Updated model runs from major centers and official Russian meteorological briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours represent the primary catalysts that could shift sentiment before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on August 24?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 24?
25°C or higher 39%
20°C 33%
19°C 23%
18°C 20%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
7%
16°C
13%
17°C
11%
18°C
20%
19°C
23%
20°C
29%
21°C
16%
22°C
13%
23°C
9%
24°C
4%
25°C or higher
39%
25°C or higher 39%
20°C 33%
19°C 23%
18°C 20%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
$5 Wol.
7%
16°C
$5 Wol.
13%
17°C
$0 Wol.
11%
18°C
$0 Wol.
20%
19°C
$0 Wol.
23%
20°C
$9 Wol.
29%
21°C
$0 Wol.
16%
22°C
$0 Wol.
13%
23°C
$5 Wol.
9%
24°C
$0 Wol.
4%
25°C or higher
$0 Wol.
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts indicate Moscow's August 24 maximum will likely fall between 20–23°C amid typical late-summer variability, with model consensus pointing to partly cloudy conditions and moderate southwesterly flow that limits daytime heating. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range and inherent short-term forecast uncertainty, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or timing of any frontal passage could push readings above or below key thresholds. Historical August highs average near 22–24°C, providing context for the current balanced market-implied odds. Updated model runs from major centers and official Russian meteorological briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours represent the primary catalysts that could shift sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$15Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts indicate Moscow's August 24 maximum will likely fall between 20–23°C amid typical late-summer variability, with model consensus pointing to partly cloudy conditions and moderate southwesterly flow that limits daytime heating. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range and inherent short-term forecast uncertainty, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or timing of any frontal passage could push readings above or below key thresholds. Historical August highs average near 22–24°C, providing context for the current balanced market-implied odds. Updated model runs from major centers and official Russian meteorological briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours represent the primary catalysts that could shift sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$15Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts indicate Moscow's August 24 maximum will likely fall between 20–23°C amid typical late-summer variability, with model consensus pointing to partly cloudy conditions and moderate southwesterly flow that limits daytime heating. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range and inherent short-term forecast uncertainty, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or timing of any frontal passage could push readings above or below key thresholds. Historical August highs average near 22–24°C, providing context for the current balanced market-implied odds. Updated model runs from major centers and official Russian meteorological briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours represent the primary catalysts that could shift sentiment before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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