Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and specialized meteorological outlooks indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on August 22 will likely fall in the 11–13°C range due to typical late-summer radiative cooling overnight under light winds and variable cloud cover. This aligns with the market's tight clustering of probabilities around those thresholds, reflecting ensemble consensus on boundary-layer temperatures amid seasonal transition toward autumn. Historical August minima average near 12–13°C, with differentiation among outcomes hinging on precise wind speeds (higher mixing raises lows) and humidity levels that modulate dew-point depression. No major synoptic systems are expected to disrupt this pattern, though minor model divergences in cloud timing could shift the exact low by 1–2°C before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Moscow on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 22?
11°C 46%
12°C 42%
13°C 40%
7°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
6°C or below
31%
7°C
40%
8°C
39%
9°C
37%
10°C
29%
11°C
46%
12°C
42%
13°C
40%
14°C
36%
15°C
5%
16°C or higher
39%
11°C 46%
12°C 42%
13°C 40%
7°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
6°C or below
$58 Wol.
31%
7°C
$15 Wol.
40%
8°C
$10 Wol.
39%
9°C
$10 Wol.
37%
10°C
$10 Wol.
29%
11°C
$10 Wol.
46%
12°C
$20 Wol.
42%
13°C
$10 Wol.
40%
14°C
$10 Wol.
36%
15°C
$10 Wol.
5%
16°C or higher
$15 Wol.
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and specialized meteorological outlooks indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on August 22 will likely fall in the 11–13°C range due to typical late-summer radiative cooling overnight under light winds and variable cloud cover. This aligns with the market's tight clustering of probabilities around those thresholds, reflecting ensemble consensus on boundary-layer temperatures amid seasonal transition toward autumn. Historical August minima average near 12–13°C, with differentiation among outcomes hinging on precise wind speeds (higher mixing raises lows) and humidity levels that modulate dew-point depression. No major synoptic systems are expected to disrupt this pattern, though minor model divergences in cloud timing could shift the exact low by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Wolumen
$178Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and specialized meteorological outlooks indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on August 22 will likely fall in the 11–13°C range due to typical late-summer radiative cooling overnight under light winds and variable cloud cover. This aligns with the market's tight clustering of probabilities around those thresholds, reflecting ensemble consensus on boundary-layer temperatures amid seasonal transition toward autumn. Historical August minima average near 12–13°C, with differentiation among outcomes hinging on precise wind speeds (higher mixing raises lows) and humidity levels that modulate dew-point depression. No major synoptic systems are expected to disrupt this pattern, though minor model divergences in cloud timing could shift the exact low by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$178Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and specialized meteorological outlooks indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on August 22 will likely fall in the 11–13°C range due to typical late-summer radiative cooling overnight under light winds and variable cloud cover. This aligns with the market's tight clustering of probabilities around those thresholds, reflecting ensemble consensus on boundary-layer temperatures amid seasonal transition toward autumn. Historical August minima average near 12–13°C, with differentiation among outcomes hinging on precise wind speeds (higher mixing raises lows) and humidity levels that modulate dew-point depression. No major synoptic systems are expected to disrupt this pattern, though minor model divergences in cloud timing could shift the exact low by 1–2°C before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania