Incoming Atlantic low-pressure systems and associated cloud cover are the dominant short-term drivers keeping trader-implied odds clustered around 9–14 °C for Moscow’s overnight minimum on 21 August. Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Roshydromet show modest advection of cooler maritime air combined with variable nocturnal cloudiness that limits radiative cooling, producing a narrow range of expected lows near the late-August climatological average of 12–14 °C. Clear-sky scenarios would allow stronger surface heat loss and push readings toward or below 9 °C, while increased low-level moisture or wind mixing would hold minima near 13–14 °C. With probabilities tightly bunched, any updated 00–12 UTC model runs or observed dew-point trends before resolution will likely shift the tight 33–39 % bands among these outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Moscow on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 21?
9°C or below 38%
12°C 34%
13°C 34%
14°C 34%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
9°C or below
38%
10°C
34%
11°C
33%
12°C
34%
13°C
34%
14°C
34%
15°C
34%
16°C
-
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
9°C or below 38%
12°C 34%
13°C 34%
14°C 34%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
9°C or below
$82 Wol.
38%
10°C
$39 Wol.
34%
11°C
$27 Wol.
33%
12°C
$0 Wol.
34%
13°C
$0 Wol.
34%
14°C
$0 Wol.
34%
15°C
$16 Wol.
34%
16°C
$5,329 Wol.
-
17°C
$150 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$69 Wol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$68 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Incoming Atlantic low-pressure systems and associated cloud cover are the dominant short-term drivers keeping trader-implied odds clustered around 9–14 °C for Moscow’s overnight minimum on 21 August. Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Roshydromet show modest advection of cooler maritime air combined with variable nocturnal cloudiness that limits radiative cooling, producing a narrow range of expected lows near the late-August climatological average of 12–14 °C. Clear-sky scenarios would allow stronger surface heat loss and push readings toward or below 9 °C, while increased low-level moisture or wind mixing would hold minima near 13–14 °C. With probabilities tightly bunched, any updated 00–12 UTC model runs or observed dew-point trends before resolution will likely shift the tight 33–39 % bands among these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$5,781Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Incoming Atlantic low-pressure systems and associated cloud cover are the dominant short-term drivers keeping trader-implied odds clustered around 9–14 °C for Moscow’s overnight minimum on 21 August. Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Roshydromet show modest advection of cooler maritime air combined with variable nocturnal cloudiness that limits radiative cooling, producing a narrow range of expected lows near the late-August climatological average of 12–14 °C. Clear-sky scenarios would allow stronger surface heat loss and push readings toward or below 9 °C, while increased low-level moisture or wind mixing would hold minima near 13–14 °C. With probabilities tightly bunched, any updated 00–12 UTC model runs or observed dew-point trends before resolution will likely shift the tight 33–39 % bands among these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,781Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incoming Atlantic low-pressure systems and associated cloud cover are the dominant short-term drivers keeping trader-implied odds clustered around 9–14 °C for Moscow’s overnight minimum on 21 August. Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Roshydromet show modest advection of cooler maritime air combined with variable nocturnal cloudiness that limits radiative cooling, producing a narrow range of expected lows near the late-August climatological average of 12–14 °C. Clear-sky scenarios would allow stronger surface heat loss and push readings toward or below 9 °C, while increased low-level moisture or wind mixing would hold minima near 13–14 °C. With probabilities tightly bunched, any updated 00–12 UTC model runs or observed dew-point trends before resolution will likely shift the tight 33–39 % bands among these outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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