Elevated West Nile virus activity in mosquitoes across all NYC boroughs since mid-June, with 1,284 positive pools reported—nearly double the prior year's pace at this point—drives current market sentiment amid only one confirmed neuroinvasive case as of August 19. Peak transmission typically occurs in August and September, when warmer temperatures and mosquito abundance can accelerate spread, though enhanced larviciding and public precautions may limit severe outcomes. Historical data show recent annual neuroinvasive averages of 25–31 cases among residents (range 16–36 from 2021–2025), versus lower prior baselines, creating uncertainty between bins below 20 and 35–49 given variable reporting lags, weather influences on vectors, and the roughly 1-in-150 infection-to-neuroinvasive ratio. Surveillance updates from the NYC Health Department through October will clarify final counts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
35 to 49 28%
20 to 34 22%
50 or more 11%
Fewer than 20 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Mar 31, 2027
Fewer than 20
25%
20 to 34
22%
35 to 49
28%
50 or more
11%
35 to 49 28%
20 to 34 22%
50 or more 11%
Fewer than 20 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Mar 31, 2027
Fewer than 20
$55 Wol.
25%
20 to 34
$67 Wol.
22%
35 to 49
$454 Wol.
28%
50 or more
$221 Wol.
11%
This market resolves based on the total number of West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases (encephalitis, meningitis, and acute flaccid paralysis) reported among New York City residents in 2026, as published by the New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene on its West Nile Virus Reports page at nyc.gov/site/doh/health/health-topics/west-nile-virus-reports.page.
Cases are counted as whole numbers, so each outcome covers a distinct range with no overlap or gap.
The 2026 count shown on the source as of January 1, 2027 is the starting figure.
If the DOHMH publishes or revises the 2026 count on or after January 1, 2027, this market will resolve based on the count shown on the source at 11:59 PM ET on the 14th day after the first such update, or on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes first. If no such update occurs, this market will resolve on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, based on the 2026 count shown on the source at that time.
If no 2026 count has been published on the source by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the sum of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive disease case counts reported by CDC ArboNET for the five New York City counties (Bronx, Kings, New York, Queens, and Richmond). Revisions published after this market resolves will not be considered. If the DOHMH changes its reporting format or URL structure, the closest equivalent NYC Health Department publication of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive case data will be used.Elevated West Nile virus activity in mosquitoes across all NYC boroughs since mid-June, with 1,284 positive pools reported—nearly double the prior year's pace at this point—drives current market sentiment amid only one confirmed neuroinvasive case as of August 19. Peak transmission typically occurs in August and September, when warmer temperatures and mosquito abundance can accelerate spread, though enhanced larviciding and public precautions may limit severe outcomes. Historical data show recent annual neuroinvasive averages of 25–31 cases among residents (range 16–36 from 2021–2025), versus lower prior baselines, creating uncertainty between bins below 20 and 35–49 given variable reporting lags, weather influences on vectors, and the roughly 1-in-150 infection-to-neuroinvasive ratio. Surveillance updates from the NYC Health Department through October will clarify final counts.
This market resolves based on the total number of West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases (encephalitis, meningitis, and acute flaccid paralysis) reported among New York City residents in 2026, as published by the New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene on its West Nile Virus Reports page at nyc.gov/site/doh/health/health-topics/west-nile-virus-reports.page.
Cases are counted as whole numbers, so each outcome covers a distinct range with no overlap or gap.
The 2026 count shown on the source as of January 1, 2027 is the starting figure.
If the DOHMH publishes or revises the 2026 count on or after January 1, 2027, this market will resolve based on the count shown on the source at 11:59 PM ET on the 14th day after the first such update, or on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes first. If no such update occurs, this market will resolve on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, based on the 2026 count shown on the source at that time.
If no 2026 count has been published on the source by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the sum of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive disease case counts reported by CDC ArboNET for the five New York City counties (Bronx, Kings, New York, Queens, and Richmond). Revisions published after this market resolves will not be considered. If the DOHMH changes its reporting format or URL structure, the closest equivalent NYC Health Department publication of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive case data will be used.
Cases are counted as whole numbers, so each outcome covers a distinct range with no overlap or gap.
The 2026 count shown on the source as of January 1, 2027 is the starting figure.
If the DOHMH publishes or revises the 2026 count on or after January 1, 2027, this market will resolve based on the count shown on the source at 11:59 PM ET on the 14th day after the first such update, or on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes first. If no such update occurs, this market will resolve on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, based on the 2026 count shown on the source at that time.
If no 2026 count has been published on the source by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the sum of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive disease case counts reported by CDC ArboNET for the five New York City counties (Bronx, Kings, New York, Queens, and Richmond). Revisions published after this market resolves will not be considered. If the DOHMH changes its reporting format or URL structure, the closest equivalent NYC Health Department publication of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive case data will be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Wolumen
$796Data zakończenia
Mar 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 5:18 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.nyc.gov/site/doh/health/health-topics/west-nile-virus-reports.pageResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market resolves based on the total number of West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases (encephalitis, meningitis, and acute flaccid paralysis) reported among New York City residents in 2026, as published by the New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene on its West Nile Virus Reports page at nyc.gov/site/doh/health/health-topics/west-nile-virus-reports.page.
Cases are counted as whole numbers, so each outcome covers a distinct range with no overlap or gap.
The 2026 count shown on the source as of January 1, 2027 is the starting figure.
If the DOHMH publishes or revises the 2026 count on or after January 1, 2027, this market will resolve based on the count shown on the source at 11:59 PM ET on the 14th day after the first such update, or on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes first. If no such update occurs, this market will resolve on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, based on the 2026 count shown on the source at that time.
If no 2026 count has been published on the source by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the sum of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive disease case counts reported by CDC ArboNET for the five New York City counties (Bronx, Kings, New York, Queens, and Richmond). Revisions published after this market resolves will not be considered. If the DOHMH changes its reporting format or URL structure, the closest equivalent NYC Health Department publication of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive case data will be used.Elevated West Nile virus activity in mosquitoes across all NYC boroughs since mid-June, with 1,284 positive pools reported—nearly double the prior year's pace at this point—drives current market sentiment amid only one confirmed neuroinvasive case as of August 19. Peak transmission typically occurs in August and September, when warmer temperatures and mosquito abundance can accelerate spread, though enhanced larviciding and public precautions may limit severe outcomes. Historical data show recent annual neuroinvasive averages of 25–31 cases among residents (range 16–36 from 2021–2025), versus lower prior baselines, creating uncertainty between bins below 20 and 35–49 given variable reporting lags, weather influences on vectors, and the roughly 1-in-150 infection-to-neuroinvasive ratio. Surveillance updates from the NYC Health Department through October will clarify final counts.
This market resolves based on the total number of West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases (encephalitis, meningitis, and acute flaccid paralysis) reported among New York City residents in 2026, as published by the New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene on its West Nile Virus Reports page at nyc.gov/site/doh/health/health-topics/west-nile-virus-reports.page.
Cases are counted as whole numbers, so each outcome covers a distinct range with no overlap or gap.
The 2026 count shown on the source as of January 1, 2027 is the starting figure.
If the DOHMH publishes or revises the 2026 count on or after January 1, 2027, this market will resolve based on the count shown on the source at 11:59 PM ET on the 14th day after the first such update, or on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes first. If no such update occurs, this market will resolve on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, based on the 2026 count shown on the source at that time.
If no 2026 count has been published on the source by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the sum of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive disease case counts reported by CDC ArboNET for the five New York City counties (Bronx, Kings, New York, Queens, and Richmond). Revisions published after this market resolves will not be considered. If the DOHMH changes its reporting format or URL structure, the closest equivalent NYC Health Department publication of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive case data will be used.
Cases are counted as whole numbers, so each outcome covers a distinct range with no overlap or gap.
The 2026 count shown on the source as of January 1, 2027 is the starting figure.
If the DOHMH publishes or revises the 2026 count on or after January 1, 2027, this market will resolve based on the count shown on the source at 11:59 PM ET on the 14th day after the first such update, or on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes first. If no such update occurs, this market will resolve on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, based on the 2026 count shown on the source at that time.
If no 2026 count has been published on the source by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the sum of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive disease case counts reported by CDC ArboNET for the five New York City counties (Bronx, Kings, New York, Queens, and Richmond). Revisions published after this market resolves will not be considered. If the DOHMH changes its reporting format or URL structure, the closest equivalent NYC Health Department publication of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive case data will be used.
Wolumen
$796Data zakończenia
Mar 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 5:18 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.nyc.gov/site/doh/health/health-topics/west-nile-virus-reports.pageResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated West Nile virus activity in mosquitoes across all NYC boroughs since mid-June, with 1,284 positive pools reported—nearly double the prior year's pace at this point—drives current market sentiment amid only one confirmed neuroinvasive case as of August 19. Peak transmission typically occurs in August and September, when warmer temperatures and mosquito abundance can accelerate spread, though enhanced larviciding and public precautions may limit severe outcomes. Historical data show recent annual neuroinvasive averages of 25–31 cases among residents (range 16–36 from 2021–2025), versus lower prior baselines, creating uncertainty between bins below 20 and 35–49 given variable reporting lags, weather influences on vectors, and the roughly 1-in-150 infection-to-neuroinvasive ratio. Surveillance updates from the NYC Health Department through October will clarify final counts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania