Strong global surveillance data from the CDC and WHO showing persistently low SARS-CoV-2 circulation, with only 3.8% test positivity in recent sentinel sampling and very low emergency department visits (0.3%), underpin traders' 96% confidence that no new coronavirus pandemic will occur in 2026. Endemic Omicron subvariants such as BA.3.2 continue to drive modest Rt values around 1.08 without evidence of major increases in severity or healthcare burden, consistent with the post-2023 endemic phase. Realistic scenarios that could shift odds include emergence of a highly mutated strain with substantial immune escape and elevated virulence, or a novel coronavirus spillover event meeting international PHEIC thresholds before year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNew Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
4% szansa
$22,662 Wol.
$22,662 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
4% szansa
$22,662 Wol.
$22,662 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares a new COVID pandemic other than COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.Strong global surveillance data from the CDC and WHO showing persistently low SARS-CoV-2 circulation, with only 3.8% test positivity in recent sentinel sampling and very low emergency department visits (0.3%), underpin traders' 96% confidence that no new coronavirus pandemic will occur in 2026. Endemic Omicron subvariants such as BA.3.2 continue to drive modest Rt values around 1.08 without evidence of major increases in severity or healthcare burden, consistent with the post-2023 endemic phase. Realistic scenarios that could shift odds include emergence of a highly mutated strain with substantial immune escape and elevated virulence, or a novel coronavirus spillover event meeting international PHEIC thresholds before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares a new COVID pandemic other than COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 6, 2026, 2:40 PM ET
Wolumen
$22,662Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 6, 2026, 2:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares a new COVID pandemic other than COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.Strong global surveillance data from the CDC and WHO showing persistently low SARS-CoV-2 circulation, with only 3.8% test positivity in recent sentinel sampling and very low emergency department visits (0.3%), underpin traders' 96% confidence that no new coronavirus pandemic will occur in 2026. Endemic Omicron subvariants such as BA.3.2 continue to drive modest Rt values around 1.08 without evidence of major increases in severity or healthcare burden, consistent with the post-2023 endemic phase. Realistic scenarios that could shift odds include emergence of a highly mutated strain with substantial immune escape and elevated virulence, or a novel coronavirus spillover event meeting international PHEIC thresholds before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares a new COVID pandemic other than COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Wolumen
$22,662Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 6, 2026, 2:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong global surveillance data from the CDC and WHO showing persistently low SARS-CoV-2 circulation, with only 3.8% test positivity in recent sentinel sampling and very low emergency department visits (0.3%), underpin traders' 96% confidence that no new coronavirus pandemic will occur in 2026. Endemic Omicron subvariants such as BA.3.2 continue to drive modest Rt values around 1.08 without evidence of major increases in severity or healthcare burden, consistent with the post-2023 endemic phase. Realistic scenarios that could shift odds include emergence of a highly mutated strain with substantial immune escape and elevated virulence, or a novel coronavirus spillover event meeting international PHEIC thresholds before year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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