Trader sentiment reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range tropical forecasting, with outcomes clustered tightly between 25–28°C. The southwest monsoon currently dominates Manila, delivering persistent cloud cover and high humidity that suppress nighttime radiative cooling and compress the diurnal temperature range. PAGASA guidance highlights variable rainfall and light winds as key variables that could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C depending on timing and intensity of showers. Model ensembles show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud persistence, preventing any single threshold from dominating. Updated PAGASA and global model runs over the next 24 hours will provide the next decisive data points for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Manila on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 22?
27°C 31%
26°C 29%
25°C 28%
28°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
27%
25°C
28%
26°C
29%
27°C
31%
28°C
27%
29°C
27%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 31%
26°C 29%
25°C 28%
28°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
21°C or below
$47 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$45 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$203 Wol.
2%
24°C
$0 Wol.
27%
25°C
$1 Wol.
28%
26°C
$0 Wol.
29%
27°C
$0 Wol.
31%
28°C
$0 Wol.
27%
29°C
$0 Wol.
27%
30°C
$60 Wol.
5%
31°C or higher
$28 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range tropical forecasting, with outcomes clustered tightly between 25–28°C. The southwest monsoon currently dominates Manila, delivering persistent cloud cover and high humidity that suppress nighttime radiative cooling and compress the diurnal temperature range. PAGASA guidance highlights variable rainfall and light winds as key variables that could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C depending on timing and intensity of showers. Model ensembles show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud persistence, preventing any single threshold from dominating. Updated PAGASA and global model runs over the next 24 hours will provide the next decisive data points for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
Wolumen
$384Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 1:34 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range tropical forecasting, with outcomes clustered tightly between 25–28°C. The southwest monsoon currently dominates Manila, delivering persistent cloud cover and high humidity that suppress nighttime radiative cooling and compress the diurnal temperature range. PAGASA guidance highlights variable rainfall and light winds as key variables that could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C depending on timing and intensity of showers. Model ensembles show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud persistence, preventing any single threshold from dominating. Updated PAGASA and global model runs over the next 24 hours will provide the next decisive data points for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$384Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 1:34 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range tropical forecasting, with outcomes clustered tightly between 25–28°C. The southwest monsoon currently dominates Manila, delivering persistent cloud cover and high humidity that suppress nighttime radiative cooling and compress the diurnal temperature range. PAGASA guidance highlights variable rainfall and light winds as key variables that could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C depending on timing and intensity of showers. Model ensembles show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud persistence, preventing any single threshold from dominating. Updated PAGASA and global model runs over the next 24 hours will provide the next decisive data points for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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