Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and timeanddate project Shenzhen's August 22 overnight low near 26–27°C under subtropical monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and overcast skies limiting radiative cooling. High humidity (typically 80%+) and frequent summer precipitation moderate temperature drops compared to drier nights, while steering patterns and any weak tropical moisture influences keep conditions close to August climatological averages of 26°C lows. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–28°C reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence, which could shift minima by 1–2°C depending on convective activity. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these variables.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 22?
27°C 35%
26°C 31%
28°C 28%
24°C 25%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
25%
25°C
22%
26°C
31%
27°C
35%
28°C
28%
29°C
21%
30°C
24%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
27°C 35%
26°C 31%
28°C 28%
24°C 25%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
23°C or below
$8 Wol.
2%
24°C
$0 Wol.
25%
25°C
$0 Wol.
22%
26°C
$0 Wol.
31%
27°C
$0 Wol.
35%
28°C
$0 Wol.
28%
29°C
$0 Wol.
21%
30°C
$0 Wol.
24%
31°C
$0 Wol.
7%
32°C
$10 Wol.
2%
33°C or higher
$20 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and timeanddate project Shenzhen's August 22 overnight low near 26–27°C under subtropical monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and overcast skies limiting radiative cooling. High humidity (typically 80%+) and frequent summer precipitation moderate temperature drops compared to drier nights, while steering patterns and any weak tropical moisture influences keep conditions close to August climatological averages of 26°C lows. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–28°C reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence, which could shift minima by 1–2°C depending on convective activity. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these variables.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Wolumen
$23Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and timeanddate project Shenzhen's August 22 overnight low near 26–27°C under subtropical monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and overcast skies limiting radiative cooling. High humidity (typically 80%+) and frequent summer precipitation moderate temperature drops compared to drier nights, while steering patterns and any weak tropical moisture influences keep conditions close to August climatological averages of 26°C lows. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–28°C reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence, which could shift minima by 1–2°C depending on convective activity. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these variables.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$23Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and timeanddate project Shenzhen's August 22 overnight low near 26–27°C under subtropical monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and overcast skies limiting radiative cooling. High humidity (typically 80%+) and frequent summer precipitation moderate temperature drops compared to drier nights, while steering patterns and any weak tropical moisture influences keep conditions close to August climatological averages of 26°C lows. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–28°C reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence, which could shift minima by 1–2°C depending on convective activity. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these variables.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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