Forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on August 21 will likely settle near 25–27°C amid scattered showers and thundery conditions typical of the region's subtropical monsoon climate. Persistent humidity and cloud cover from recent rain events suppress daytime heating while limiting radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimums close to long-term August averages of 26°C. Model consensus shows no strong cold-air advection or typhoon influence to push readings to 24°C or below, though localized downpours could briefly dip surface temperatures. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 25°C and 24°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow range between climatological norms and the modest cooling effect of ongoing precipitation, with resolution hinging on official overnight observations through midnight local time.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 21?
24°C 34%
26°C 31.6%
23°C or below 2%
27°C <1%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
34%
25°C
61%
26°C
32%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
24°C 34%
26°C 31.6%
23°C or below 2%
27°C <1%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
34%
25°C
61%
26°C
32%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on August 21 will likely settle near 25–27°C amid scattered showers and thundery conditions typical of the region's subtropical monsoon climate. Persistent humidity and cloud cover from recent rain events suppress daytime heating while limiting radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimums close to long-term August averages of 26°C. Model consensus shows no strong cold-air advection or typhoon influence to push readings to 24°C or below, though localized downpours could briefly dip surface temperatures. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 25°C and 24°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow range between climatological norms and the modest cooling effect of ongoing precipitation, with resolution hinging on official overnight observations through midnight local time.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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