Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models reveal substantial uncertainty in Chengdu's peak temperature on August 22, with afternoon conditions hinging on variable cloud cover, monsoon moisture, and potential convective storms over the Sichuan Basin. These factors create a narrow range of plausible maxima clustered near 28°C or 35°C, reflected in the closely matched 18.5% market-implied probabilities, while the 0.5% odds on 36°C or higher underscore limited support for extreme heat under current steering patterns. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the primary variables of insolation and boundary-layer moisture.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 22?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 22?
32°C 27%
33°C 20%
31°C 19%
29°C 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
18%
30°C
16%
31°C
19%
32°C
27%
33°C
20%
34°C
16%
35°C
11%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 27%
33°C 20%
31°C 19%
29°C 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
27°C
$0 Wol.
1%
28°C
$0 Wol.
3%
29°C
$0 Wol.
18%
30°C
$0 Wol.
16%
31°C
$0 Wol.
19%
32°C
$0 Wol.
27%
33°C
$0 Wol.
20%
34°C
$0 Wol.
16%
35°C
$0 Wol.
11%
36°C or higher
$0 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models reveal substantial uncertainty in Chengdu's peak temperature on August 22, with afternoon conditions hinging on variable cloud cover, monsoon moisture, and potential convective storms over the Sichuan Basin. These factors create a narrow range of plausible maxima clustered near 28°C or 35°C, reflected in the closely matched 18.5% market-implied probabilities, while the 0.5% odds on 36°C or higher underscore limited support for extreme heat under current steering patterns. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the primary variables of insolation and boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models reveal substantial uncertainty in Chengdu's peak temperature on August 22, with afternoon conditions hinging on variable cloud cover, monsoon moisture, and potential convective storms over the Sichuan Basin. These factors create a narrow range of plausible maxima clustered near 28°C or 35°C, reflected in the closely matched 18.5% market-implied probabilities, while the 0.5% odds on 36°C or higher underscore limited support for extreme heat under current steering patterns. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the primary variables of insolation and boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models reveal substantial uncertainty in Chengdu's peak temperature on August 22, with afternoon conditions hinging on variable cloud cover, monsoon moisture, and potential convective storms over the Sichuan Basin. These factors create a narrow range of plausible maxima clustered near 28°C or 35°C, reflected in the closely matched 18.5% market-implied probabilities, while the 0.5% odds on 36°C or higher underscore limited support for extreme heat under current steering patterns. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the primary variables of insolation and boundary-layer moisture.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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