Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show Shenzhen's August 26 peak temperature most likely falling in the 30–32°C range, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical patterns with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and afternoon convection potential. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, capturing uncertainty from local sea breezes, urban heat effects, and possible South China Sea influences that could nudge daytime maxima up or down by a degree. Historical climatology places August averages near 31°C, while recent model updates highlight stable steering patterns with low typhoon risk. Traders balance the odds of clear-sky warming against thunderstorm cooling ahead of final observational data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 26?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 26?
30°C 31%
31°C 29%
32°C 22%
34°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
10%
29°C
15%
30°C
31%
31°C
29%
32°C
22%
33°C
12%
34°C
16%
35°C or higher
7%
30°C 31%
31°C 29%
32°C 22%
34°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Wol.
2%
26°C
$0 Wol.
4%
27°C
$4 Wol.
8%
28°C
$0 Wol.
10%
29°C
$0 Wol.
15%
30°C
$0 Wol.
31%
31°C
$0 Wol.
29%
32°C
$3 Wol.
22%
33°C
$0 Wol.
12%
34°C
$5 Wol.
16%
35°C or higher
$5 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show Shenzhen's August 26 peak temperature most likely falling in the 30–32°C range, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical patterns with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and afternoon convection potential. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, capturing uncertainty from local sea breezes, urban heat effects, and possible South China Sea influences that could nudge daytime maxima up or down by a degree. Historical climatology places August averages near 31°C, while recent model updates highlight stable steering patterns with low typhoon risk. Traders balance the odds of clear-sky warming against thunderstorm cooling ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$17Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show Shenzhen's August 26 peak temperature most likely falling in the 30–32°C range, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical patterns with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and afternoon convection potential. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, capturing uncertainty from local sea breezes, urban heat effects, and possible South China Sea influences that could nudge daytime maxima up or down by a degree. Historical climatology places August averages near 31°C, while recent model updates highlight stable steering patterns with low typhoon risk. Traders balance the odds of clear-sky warming against thunderstorm cooling ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$17Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show Shenzhen's August 26 peak temperature most likely falling in the 30–32°C range, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical patterns with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and afternoon convection potential. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, capturing uncertainty from local sea breezes, urban heat effects, and possible South China Sea influences that could nudge daytime maxima up or down by a degree. Historical climatology places August averages near 31°C, while recent model updates highlight stable steering patterns with low typhoon risk. Traders balance the odds of clear-sky warming against thunderstorm cooling ahead of final observational data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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