**Persistent late-summer heat driven by the expansive North Pacific high-pressure system continues to dominate Busan’s weather, positioning 35°C as the leading market outcome at 42.5% implied probability.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and multiple models (including Met Office and local guidance) project daytime highs of 33–35°C for August 26, 2026, under mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. This aligns with the ongoing heatwave, where perceived temperatures often exceed actual readings by several degrees, and recent expansions of heat warnings across southern regions reflect sustained warm-air advection. While some models show slight cooling potential from scattered afternoon showers or a modest wind shift, the consensus favors temperatures near or slightly above 35°C rather than a sharp drop. The 36°C outcome at 29% captures residual upside risk from stronger insolation or delayed frontal influences, whereas lower probabilities for 34°C or below reflect the low likelihood of significant relief this close to resolution. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these odds as the exact steering pattern and any convective activity become clearer.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Busan on August 26?
35°C 44%
36°C 29%
34°C 19%
37°C 6%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
19%
35°C
44%
36°C
29%
37°C
6%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 44%
36°C 29%
34°C 19%
37°C 6%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
19%
35°C
44%
36°C
29%
37°C
6%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent late-summer heat driven by the expansive North Pacific high-pressure system continues to dominate Busan’s weather, positioning 35°C as the leading market outcome at 42.5% implied probability.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and multiple models (including Met Office and local guidance) project daytime highs of 33–35°C for August 26, 2026, under mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. This aligns with the ongoing heatwave, where perceived temperatures often exceed actual readings by several degrees, and recent expansions of heat warnings across southern regions reflect sustained warm-air advection. While some models show slight cooling potential from scattered afternoon showers or a modest wind shift, the consensus favors temperatures near or slightly above 35°C rather than a sharp drop. The 36°C outcome at 29% captures residual upside risk from stronger insolation or delayed frontal influences, whereas lower probabilities for 34°C or below reflect the low likelihood of significant relief this close to resolution. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these odds as the exact steering pattern and any convective activity become clearer.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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