Current ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF places Paris’s August 25 maximum near 26–27 °C, reflecting modest surface insolation under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and limited warm-air advection after the recent post-heatwave cooldown. These conditions align with late-August climatology while capping afternoon peaks; scattered showers or thicker cloud decks could suppress readings toward 25 °C, whereas earlier clearing would favor brief excursions to 28 °C. Traders weigh the spread across high-resolution runs and the next 48-hour model updates, as small shifts in timing of cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing directly separate the closely matched 26 °C and 27 °C outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on August 25?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 25?
26°C 34%
27°C 28%
28°C 18%
25°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
9%
26°C
34%
27°C
28%
28°C
18%
29°C
8%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
2%
26°C 34%
27°C 28%
28°C 18%
25°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$8 Wol.
2%
24°C
$15 Wol.
3%
25°C
$120 Wol.
9%
26°C
$140 Wol.
34%
27°C
$219 Wol.
28%
28°C
$53 Wol.
18%
29°C
$67 Wol.
8%
30°C
$44 Wol.
4%
31°C
$25 Wol.
2%
32°C or higher
$5 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF places Paris’s August 25 maximum near 26–27 °C, reflecting modest surface insolation under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and limited warm-air advection after the recent post-heatwave cooldown. These conditions align with late-August climatology while capping afternoon peaks; scattered showers or thicker cloud decks could suppress readings toward 25 °C, whereas earlier clearing would favor brief excursions to 28 °C. Traders weigh the spread across high-resolution runs and the next 48-hour model updates, as small shifts in timing of cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing directly separate the closely matched 26 °C and 27 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$700Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF places Paris’s August 25 maximum near 26–27 °C, reflecting modest surface insolation under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and limited warm-air advection after the recent post-heatwave cooldown. These conditions align with late-August climatology while capping afternoon peaks; scattered showers or thicker cloud decks could suppress readings toward 25 °C, whereas earlier clearing would favor brief excursions to 28 °C. Traders weigh the spread across high-resolution runs and the next 48-hour model updates, as small shifts in timing of cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing directly separate the closely matched 26 °C and 27 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$700Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF places Paris’s August 25 maximum near 26–27 °C, reflecting modest surface insolation under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and limited warm-air advection after the recent post-heatwave cooldown. These conditions align with late-August climatology while capping afternoon peaks; scattered showers or thicker cloud decks could suppress readings toward 25 °C, whereas earlier clearing would favor brief excursions to 28 °C. Traders weigh the spread across high-resolution runs and the next 48-hour model updates, as small shifts in timing of cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing directly separate the closely matched 26 °C and 27 °C outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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