Forecast models from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS consensus show Paris reaching a daily maximum of 23–25 °C on 23 August under northeasterly flow, increasing low-to-mid-level cloud, and limited insolation after the prolonged July–August heatwave ended around 19 August. This places the outcome near the long-term August normal of ~24–25 °C and explains why 24 °C holds 52.5 % implied probability while 23 °C and 25 °C capture the remaining bulk. Recent surface analyses indicate drier, more stable air advecting from the northeast, suppressing convective warming and keeping afternoon readings 4–8 °C below early-August peaks. With resolution imminent, any final model shift in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing would most directly affect the narrow 23–25 °C band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on August 23?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 23?
24°C 53%
23°C 22%
25°C 14%
22°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
22%
24°C
53%
25°C
14%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 53%
23°C 22%
25°C 14%
22°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
$435 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$525 Wol.
1%
22°C
$968 Wol.
6%
23°C
$1,431 Wol.
22%
24°C
$1,182 Wol.
53%
25°C
$1,297 Wol.
14%
26°C
$608 Wol.
4%
27°C
$28 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$408 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$1,008 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$267 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS consensus show Paris reaching a daily maximum of 23–25 °C on 23 August under northeasterly flow, increasing low-to-mid-level cloud, and limited insolation after the prolonged July–August heatwave ended around 19 August. This places the outcome near the long-term August normal of ~24–25 °C and explains why 24 °C holds 52.5 % implied probability while 23 °C and 25 °C capture the remaining bulk. Recent surface analyses indicate drier, more stable air advecting from the northeast, suppressing convective warming and keeping afternoon readings 4–8 °C below early-August peaks. With resolution imminent, any final model shift in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing would most directly affect the narrow 23–25 °C band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,157Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS consensus show Paris reaching a daily maximum of 23–25 °C on 23 August under northeasterly flow, increasing low-to-mid-level cloud, and limited insolation after the prolonged July–August heatwave ended around 19 August. This places the outcome near the long-term August normal of ~24–25 °C and explains why 24 °C holds 52.5 % implied probability while 23 °C and 25 °C capture the remaining bulk. Recent surface analyses indicate drier, more stable air advecting from the northeast, suppressing convective warming and keeping afternoon readings 4–8 °C below early-August peaks. With resolution imminent, any final model shift in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing would most directly affect the narrow 23–25 °C band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,157Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS consensus show Paris reaching a daily maximum of 23–25 °C on 23 August under northeasterly flow, increasing low-to-mid-level cloud, and limited insolation after the prolonged July–August heatwave ended around 19 August. This places the outcome near the long-term August normal of ~24–25 °C and explains why 24 °C holds 52.5 % implied probability while 23 °C and 25 °C capture the remaining bulk. Recent surface analyses indicate drier, more stable air advecting from the northeast, suppressing convective warming and keeping afternoon readings 4–8 °C below early-August peaks. With resolution imminent, any final model shift in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing would most directly affect the narrow 23–25 °C band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania