**Uncertain overnight radiative cooling under variable tropical cloud cover and thunderstorm activity drives the near-even split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes.** Panama City's August climate features typical lows of 23–25°C amid the rainy season, with high humidity and light trade winds limiting nocturnal temperature drops unless skies clear sufficiently for enhanced longwave radiation loss. Recent model guidance indicates a high probability of convective storms on August 23 that could suppress cooling by maintaining cloud cover and elevated dew points near 25–27°C, while any breaks in the cloud field might allow brief dips toward the lower end of historical ranges. Traders weigh these factors against baseline climatology, producing closely matched probabilities across the 21–29°C buckets as new forecast runs refine timing and intensity of precipitation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Panama City on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on August 23?
20°C or below 98%
30°C or higher 96%
21°C 50%
22°C 50%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
98%
21°C
50%
22°C
50%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
50%
30°C or higher
96%
20°C or below 98%
30°C or higher 96%
21°C 50%
22°C 50%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
$5 Wol.
98%
21°C
$5 Wol.
50%
22°C
$5 Wol.
50%
23°C
$0 Wol.
26%
24°C
$0 Wol.
26%
25°C
$0 Wol.
26%
26°C
$0 Wol.
27%
27°C
$0 Wol.
27%
28°C
$0 Wol.
26%
29°C
$5 Wol.
50%
30°C or higher
$5 Wol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Uncertain overnight radiative cooling under variable tropical cloud cover and thunderstorm activity drives the near-even split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes.** Panama City's August climate features typical lows of 23–25°C amid the rainy season, with high humidity and light trade winds limiting nocturnal temperature drops unless skies clear sufficiently for enhanced longwave radiation loss. Recent model guidance indicates a high probability of convective storms on August 23 that could suppress cooling by maintaining cloud cover and elevated dew points near 25–27°C, while any breaks in the cloud field might allow brief dips toward the lower end of historical ranges. Traders weigh these factors against baseline climatology, producing closely matched probabilities across the 21–29°C buckets as new forecast runs refine timing and intensity of precipitation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$25Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Uncertain overnight radiative cooling under variable tropical cloud cover and thunderstorm activity drives the near-even split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes.** Panama City's August climate features typical lows of 23–25°C amid the rainy season, with high humidity and light trade winds limiting nocturnal temperature drops unless skies clear sufficiently for enhanced longwave radiation loss. Recent model guidance indicates a high probability of convective storms on August 23 that could suppress cooling by maintaining cloud cover and elevated dew points near 25–27°C, while any breaks in the cloud field might allow brief dips toward the lower end of historical ranges. Traders weigh these factors against baseline climatology, producing closely matched probabilities across the 21–29°C buckets as new forecast runs refine timing and intensity of precipitation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$25Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Uncertain overnight radiative cooling under variable tropical cloud cover and thunderstorm activity drives the near-even split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes.** Panama City's August climate features typical lows of 23–25°C amid the rainy season, with high humidity and light trade winds limiting nocturnal temperature drops unless skies clear sufficiently for enhanced longwave radiation loss. Recent model guidance indicates a high probability of convective storms on August 23 that could suppress cooling by maintaining cloud cover and elevated dew points near 25–27°C, while any breaks in the cloud field might allow brief dips toward the lower end of historical ranges. Traders weigh these factors against baseline climatology, producing closely matched probabilities across the 21–29°C buckets as new forecast runs refine timing and intensity of precipitation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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