Short-term meteorological models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources indicate persistent high-pressure conditions over central Anatolia, with clear skies and light winds favoring a daily maximum of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 24. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs decline from mid-month peaks near 32°C amid decreasing solar insolation and the region's ~900 m elevation moderating extremes. Recent observations show temperatures climbing to 34–36°C on August 22–23 before a slight easing, with minimal precipitation risk and no incoming frontal systems to alter the trajectory. Model consensus and historical analogs position 32°C as the most probable outcome, reflected in the 53% market-implied probability, while variance in ensemble runs supports the secondary probabilities around 31°C and 33°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on August 24?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 24?
32°C 54%
31°C 22%
33°C 18%
30°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
8%
31°C
24%
32°C
54%
33°C
18%
34°C
5%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
2%
32°C 54%
31°C 22%
33°C 18%
30°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
29°C
$0 Wol.
1%
30°C
$0 Wol.
8%
31°C
$34 Wol.
24%
32°C
$62 Wol.
54%
33°C
$18 Wol.
18%
34°C
$12 Wol.
5%
35°C
$5 Wol.
5%
36°C
$5 Wol.
2%
37°C
$5 Wol.
2%
38°C or higher
$5 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term meteorological models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources indicate persistent high-pressure conditions over central Anatolia, with clear skies and light winds favoring a daily maximum of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 24. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs decline from mid-month peaks near 32°C amid decreasing solar insolation and the region's ~900 m elevation moderating extremes. Recent observations show temperatures climbing to 34–36°C on August 22–23 before a slight easing, with minimal precipitation risk and no incoming frontal systems to alter the trajectory. Model consensus and historical analogs position 32°C as the most probable outcome, reflected in the 53% market-implied probability, while variance in ensemble runs supports the secondary probabilities around 31°C and 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$146Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term meteorological models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources indicate persistent high-pressure conditions over central Anatolia, with clear skies and light winds favoring a daily maximum of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 24. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs decline from mid-month peaks near 32°C amid decreasing solar insolation and the region's ~900 m elevation moderating extremes. Recent observations show temperatures climbing to 34–36°C on August 22–23 before a slight easing, with minimal precipitation risk and no incoming frontal systems to alter the trajectory. Model consensus and historical analogs position 32°C as the most probable outcome, reflected in the 53% market-implied probability, while variance in ensemble runs supports the secondary probabilities around 31°C and 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$146Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term meteorological models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources indicate persistent high-pressure conditions over central Anatolia, with clear skies and light winds favoring a daily maximum of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 24. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs decline from mid-month peaks near 32°C amid decreasing solar insolation and the region's ~900 m elevation moderating extremes. Recent observations show temperatures climbing to 34–36°C on August 22–23 before a slight easing, with minimal precipitation risk and no incoming frontal systems to alter the trajectory. Model consensus and historical analogs position 32°C as the most probable outcome, reflected in the 53% market-implied probability, while variance in ensemble runs supports the secondary probabilities around 31°C and 33°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania