Latest forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office and AEMET points to a peak of 27–29°C in Madrid on August 24 amid a late-summer cooling pattern, driving the market’s strong consensus on 28°C (50%) and 29°C (27%). Continental high-pressure influence is expected to yield mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, yet modest Atlantic moisture and boundary-layer mixing limit strong daytime heating relative to earlier August peaks near 32–34°C. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, consistent with historical late-August variability where daily highs average near 30–31°C but often dip with any increase in cloud cover or advection. Traders are weighting the next model runs and official AEMET bulletins ahead of the observation window, as small shifts in steering patterns or urban heat effects could adjust the recorded maximum by 1°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on August 24?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 24?
28°C 50%
29°C 37%
27°C 16%
30°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
16%
28°C
50%
29°C
29%
30°C
8%
31°C
5%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
4%
28°C 50%
29°C 37%
27°C 16%
30°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
24°C
$0 Wol.
1%
25°C
$0 Wol.
1%
26°C
$0 Wol.
5%
27°C
$0 Wol.
16%
28°C
$39 Wol.
50%
29°C
$10 Wol.
29%
30°C
$10 Wol.
8%
31°C
$5 Wol.
5%
32°C
$10 Wol.
4%
33°C or higher
$5 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office and AEMET points to a peak of 27–29°C in Madrid on August 24 amid a late-summer cooling pattern, driving the market’s strong consensus on 28°C (50%) and 29°C (27%). Continental high-pressure influence is expected to yield mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, yet modest Atlantic moisture and boundary-layer mixing limit strong daytime heating relative to earlier August peaks near 32–34°C. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, consistent with historical late-August variability where daily highs average near 30–31°C but often dip with any increase in cloud cover or advection. Traders are weighting the next model runs and official AEMET bulletins ahead of the observation window, as small shifts in steering patterns or urban heat effects could adjust the recorded maximum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$79Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office and AEMET points to a peak of 27–29°C in Madrid on August 24 amid a late-summer cooling pattern, driving the market’s strong consensus on 28°C (50%) and 29°C (27%). Continental high-pressure influence is expected to yield mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, yet modest Atlantic moisture and boundary-layer mixing limit strong daytime heating relative to earlier August peaks near 32–34°C. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, consistent with historical late-August variability where daily highs average near 30–31°C but often dip with any increase in cloud cover or advection. Traders are weighting the next model runs and official AEMET bulletins ahead of the observation window, as small shifts in steering patterns or urban heat effects could adjust the recorded maximum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$79Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office and AEMET points to a peak of 27–29°C in Madrid on August 24 amid a late-summer cooling pattern, driving the market’s strong consensus on 28°C (50%) and 29°C (27%). Continental high-pressure influence is expected to yield mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, yet modest Atlantic moisture and boundary-layer mixing limit strong daytime heating relative to earlier August peaks near 32–34°C. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, consistent with historical late-August variability where daily highs average near 30–31°C but often dip with any increase in cloud cover or advection. Traders are weighting the next model runs and official AEMET bulletins ahead of the observation window, as small shifts in steering patterns or urban heat effects could adjust the recorded maximum by 1°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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