Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a daily maximum near 19–21°C in Cape Town on August 25 under clear skies and moderate southeasterly flow associated with a strong Atlantic high-pressure system. This setup favors the market’s leading 21°C outcome (38.5% implied probability) while capping upside risk for 25°C or higher. Winter climatology shows typical August highs near 18°C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly driven by subsidence and reduced cloud cover. Updated model runs from the South African Weather Service and short-range ensembles will refine the exact peak in the final 48 hours, directly influencing trader reassessment of the 22°C and 23°C bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 25?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 25?
21°C 39%
22°C 27%
25°C or higher 22%
23°C 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
11%
20°C
14%
21°C
39%
22°C
27%
23°C
17%
24°C
12%
25°C or higher
22%
21°C 39%
22°C 27%
25°C or higher 22%
23°C 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
$5 Wol.
2%
16°C
$5 Wol.
2%
17°C
$5 Wol.
2%
18°C
$10 Wol.
3%
19°C
$0 Wol.
11%
20°C
$0 Wol.
14%
21°C
$18 Wol.
39%
22°C
$0 Wol.
27%
23°C
$121 Wol.
17%
24°C
$0 Wol.
12%
25°C or higher
$0 Wol.
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a daily maximum near 19–21°C in Cape Town on August 25 under clear skies and moderate southeasterly flow associated with a strong Atlantic high-pressure system. This setup favors the market’s leading 21°C outcome (38.5% implied probability) while capping upside risk for 25°C or higher. Winter climatology shows typical August highs near 18°C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly driven by subsidence and reduced cloud cover. Updated model runs from the South African Weather Service and short-range ensembles will refine the exact peak in the final 48 hours, directly influencing trader reassessment of the 22°C and 23°C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$164Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a daily maximum near 19–21°C in Cape Town on August 25 under clear skies and moderate southeasterly flow associated with a strong Atlantic high-pressure system. This setup favors the market’s leading 21°C outcome (38.5% implied probability) while capping upside risk for 25°C or higher. Winter climatology shows typical August highs near 18°C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly driven by subsidence and reduced cloud cover. Updated model runs from the South African Weather Service and short-range ensembles will refine the exact peak in the final 48 hours, directly influencing trader reassessment of the 22°C and 23°C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$164Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a daily maximum near 19–21°C in Cape Town on August 25 under clear skies and moderate southeasterly flow associated with a strong Atlantic high-pressure system. This setup favors the market’s leading 21°C outcome (38.5% implied probability) while capping upside risk for 25°C or higher. Winter climatology shows typical August highs near 18°C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly driven by subsidence and reduced cloud cover. Updated model runs from the South African Weather Service and short-range ensembles will refine the exact peak in the final 48 hours, directly influencing trader reassessment of the 22°C and 23°C bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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