Chongqing's subtropical basin climate, influenced by a persistent western Pacific subtropical high, favors peak temperatures near 36–37°C on August 25, with the market's tight spread between those outcomes reflecting uncertainty over afternoon convection. Official guidance points to scattered showers and thunderstorms that could limit insolation and introduce localized cooling, while high humidity above 70% and urban heat island effects sustain warmth in central districts. Climatological August highs average around 34°C, but recent model runs show variability tied to steering patterns and moisture influx. Traders weigh these factors against the two-day forecast window, where revised NHC-equivalent guidance or new observational data could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 25?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 25?
36°C 32%
37°C 31%
35°C 17%
40°C or higher 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
7%
34°C
11%
35°C
17%
36°C
32%
37°C
31%
38°C
14%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
15%
36°C 32%
37°C 31%
35°C 17%
40°C or higher 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
30°C or below
$10 Wol.
1%
31°C
$77 Wol.
2%
32°C
$32 Wol.
5%
33°C
$5 Wol.
7%
34°C
$37 Wol.
11%
35°C
$25 Wol.
17%
36°C
$5 Wol.
32%
37°C
$123 Wol.
31%
38°C
$59 Wol.
14%
39°C
$437 Wol.
2%
40°C or higher
$5 Wol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Chongqing's subtropical basin climate, influenced by a persistent western Pacific subtropical high, favors peak temperatures near 36–37°C on August 25, with the market's tight spread between those outcomes reflecting uncertainty over afternoon convection. Official guidance points to scattered showers and thunderstorms that could limit insolation and introduce localized cooling, while high humidity above 70% and urban heat island effects sustain warmth in central districts. Climatological August highs average around 34°C, but recent model runs show variability tied to steering patterns and moisture influx. Traders weigh these factors against the two-day forecast window, where revised NHC-equivalent guidance or new observational data could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$814Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Chongqing's subtropical basin climate, influenced by a persistent western Pacific subtropical high, favors peak temperatures near 36–37°C on August 25, with the market's tight spread between those outcomes reflecting uncertainty over afternoon convection. Official guidance points to scattered showers and thunderstorms that could limit insolation and introduce localized cooling, while high humidity above 70% and urban heat island effects sustain warmth in central districts. Climatological August highs average around 34°C, but recent model runs show variability tied to steering patterns and moisture influx. Traders weigh these factors against the two-day forecast window, where revised NHC-equivalent guidance or new observational data could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$814Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chongqing's subtropical basin climate, influenced by a persistent western Pacific subtropical high, favors peak temperatures near 36–37°C on August 25, with the market's tight spread between those outcomes reflecting uncertainty over afternoon convection. Official guidance points to scattered showers and thunderstorms that could limit insolation and introduce localized cooling, while high humidity above 70% and urban heat island effects sustain warmth in central districts. Climatological August highs average around 34°C, but recent model runs show variability tied to steering patterns and moisture influx. Traders weigh these factors against the two-day forecast window, where revised NHC-equivalent guidance or new observational data could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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