Traders see nearly even odds between a minimum of 31°C or higher and 21°C or below for Chongqing on August 25, reflecting substantial uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models just 48 hours ahead. Subtropical conditions in late August typically feature high humidity and urban heat retention that moderate nighttime cooling, yet a passing frontal boundary or increased cloud cover could lower the minimum by several degrees. Ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show spread in predicted low-level moisture and wind patterns, with historical August variability supporting both warmer and cooler extremes. New model runs and observational updates over the next day will likely narrow the range as steering flows become clearer.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 25?
31°C or higher 84%
21°C or below 83%
24°C 30%
27°C 29%
21°C or below
83%
22°C
8%
23°C
15%
24°C
30%
25°C
24%
26°C
-
27°C
29%
28°C
28%
29°C
24%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
84%
31°C or higher 84%
21°C or below 83%
24°C 30%
27°C 29%
21°C or below
83%
22°C
8%
23°C
15%
24°C
30%
25°C
24%
26°C
-
27°C
29%
28°C
28%
29°C
24%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
84%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see nearly even odds between a minimum of 31°C or higher and 21°C or below for Chongqing on August 25, reflecting substantial uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models just 48 hours ahead. Subtropical conditions in late August typically feature high humidity and urban heat retention that moderate nighttime cooling, yet a passing frontal boundary or increased cloud cover could lower the minimum by several degrees. Ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show spread in predicted low-level moisture and wind patterns, with historical August variability supporting both warmer and cooler extremes. New model runs and observational updates over the next day will likely narrow the range as steering flows become clearer.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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