Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models position 23–25°C as the leading outcomes for Amsterdam’s maximum temperature on August 25, with consensus clustering near 24°C amid sunny to partly cloudy skies and moderate easterly flow. This setup reflects a stable late-summer high-pressure influence that limits both strong cooling from the North Sea and advection of warmer continental air, consistent with typical August climatology where daily highs average 22°C. Short-range model runs show limited spread, though minor timing shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could nudge readings by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these dynamical factors alongside historical precedent, producing the current implied probabilities ahead of final observational data from KNMI stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25?
24°C 39%
25°C 24%
23°C 23%
26°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
8%
23°C
23%
24°C
39%
25°C
24%
26°C
8%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
2%
24°C 39%
25°C 24%
23°C 23%
26°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
$30 Wol.
2%
21°C
$0 Wol.
4%
22°C
$194 Wol.
8%
23°C
$60 Wol.
23%
24°C
$5 Wol.
39%
25°C
$32 Wol.
24%
26°C
$158 Wol.
8%
27°C
$20 Wol.
3%
28°C
$20 Wol.
2%
29°C
$5 Wol.
2%
30°C or higher
$5 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models position 23–25°C as the leading outcomes for Amsterdam’s maximum temperature on August 25, with consensus clustering near 24°C amid sunny to partly cloudy skies and moderate easterly flow. This setup reflects a stable late-summer high-pressure influence that limits both strong cooling from the North Sea and advection of warmer continental air, consistent with typical August climatology where daily highs average 22°C. Short-range model runs show limited spread, though minor timing shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could nudge readings by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these dynamical factors alongside historical precedent, producing the current implied probabilities ahead of final observational data from KNMI stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$530Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models position 23–25°C as the leading outcomes for Amsterdam’s maximum temperature on August 25, with consensus clustering near 24°C amid sunny to partly cloudy skies and moderate easterly flow. This setup reflects a stable late-summer high-pressure influence that limits both strong cooling from the North Sea and advection of warmer continental air, consistent with typical August climatology where daily highs average 22°C. Short-range model runs show limited spread, though minor timing shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could nudge readings by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these dynamical factors alongside historical precedent, producing the current implied probabilities ahead of final observational data from KNMI stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$530Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models position 23–25°C as the leading outcomes for Amsterdam’s maximum temperature on August 25, with consensus clustering near 24°C amid sunny to partly cloudy skies and moderate easterly flow. This setup reflects a stable late-summer high-pressure influence that limits both strong cooling from the North Sea and advection of warmer continental air, consistent with typical August climatology where daily highs average 22°C. Short-range model runs show limited spread, though minor timing shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could nudge readings by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these dynamical factors alongside historical precedent, producing the current implied probabilities ahead of final observational data from KNMI stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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