Forecast models from sources including the KNMI and international ensembles indicate Amsterdam’s minimum temperature on August 25 will likely fall between 12–14 °C, driven by moderate easterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling overnight. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs create tight differentiation among the 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C outcomes, as small changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed can shift the nocturnal minimum by 1–2 °C. Recent above-average warmth earlier in August has moderated, but no strong cold-air advection is expected, keeping probabilities concentrated on values near the long-term late-August average low of ~13–14 °C while leaving room for minor downward revisions if clearer skies develop.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25?
9°C or below 54%
19°C or higher 54%
13°C 42%
12°C 37%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
9°C or below
54%
10°C
10%
11°C
30%
12°C
37%
13°C
42%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
8%
17°C
13%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
54%
9°C or below 54%
19°C or higher 54%
13°C 42%
12°C 37%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
9°C or below
$65 Wol.
54%
10°C
$150 Wol.
10%
11°C
$0 Wol.
30%
12°C
$0 Wol.
37%
13°C
$0 Wol.
42%
14°C
$0 Wol.
26%
15°C
$0 Wol.
26%
16°C
$0 Wol.
8%
17°C
$112 Wol.
13%
18°C
$627 Wol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$145 Wol.
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the KNMI and international ensembles indicate Amsterdam’s minimum temperature on August 25 will likely fall between 12–14 °C, driven by moderate easterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling overnight. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs create tight differentiation among the 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C outcomes, as small changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed can shift the nocturnal minimum by 1–2 °C. Recent above-average warmth earlier in August has moderated, but no strong cold-air advection is expected, keeping probabilities concentrated on values near the long-term late-August average low of ~13–14 °C while leaving room for minor downward revisions if clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,099Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the KNMI and international ensembles indicate Amsterdam’s minimum temperature on August 25 will likely fall between 12–14 °C, driven by moderate easterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling overnight. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs create tight differentiation among the 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C outcomes, as small changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed can shift the nocturnal minimum by 1–2 °C. Recent above-average warmth earlier in August has moderated, but no strong cold-air advection is expected, keeping probabilities concentrated on values near the long-term late-August average low of ~13–14 °C while leaving room for minor downward revisions if clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,099Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the KNMI and international ensembles indicate Amsterdam’s minimum temperature on August 25 will likely fall between 12–14 °C, driven by moderate easterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling overnight. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs create tight differentiation among the 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C outcomes, as small changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed can shift the nocturnal minimum by 1–2 °C. Recent above-average warmth earlier in August has moderated, but no strong cold-air advection is expected, keeping probabilities concentrated on values near the long-term late-August average low of ~13–14 °C while leaving room for minor downward revisions if clearer skies develop.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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