Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and international models indicate a high of 34–35°C on August 25, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and convective activity that limits peak solar heating after the end of the "Great Heat" period. High humidity and potential afternoon rain further moderate daytime maxima, consistent with climatological trends of declining August temperatures in the Sichuan Basin. Market-implied odds favor 36°C (36.5%) and 35–37°C ranges as leading outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of residual model spread and the possibility of brief clear spells allowing slightly higher readings before any cooling precipitation arrives. Updated model runs and local nowcasts will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 25?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 25?
36°C 37%
37°C 25%
35°C 20%
34°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
7%
35°C
20%
36°C
37%
37°C
25%
38°C
7%
39°C
3%
40°C or higher
2%
36°C 37%
37°C 25%
35°C 20%
34°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
30°C or below
$231 Wol.
1%
31°C
$20 Wol.
2%
32°C
$106 Wol.
2%
33°C
$413 Wol.
4%
34°C
$360 Wol.
7%
35°C
$331 Wol.
20%
36°C
$1,669 Wol.
37%
37°C
$281 Wol.
25%
38°C
$250 Wol.
7%
39°C
$176 Wol.
3%
40°C or higher
$5 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and international models indicate a high of 34–35°C on August 25, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and convective activity that limits peak solar heating after the end of the "Great Heat" period. High humidity and potential afternoon rain further moderate daytime maxima, consistent with climatological trends of declining August temperatures in the Sichuan Basin. Market-implied odds favor 36°C (36.5%) and 35–37°C ranges as leading outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of residual model spread and the possibility of brief clear spells allowing slightly higher readings before any cooling precipitation arrives. Updated model runs and local nowcasts will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,841Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and international models indicate a high of 34–35°C on August 25, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and convective activity that limits peak solar heating after the end of the "Great Heat" period. High humidity and potential afternoon rain further moderate daytime maxima, consistent with climatological trends of declining August temperatures in the Sichuan Basin. Market-implied odds favor 36°C (36.5%) and 35–37°C ranges as leading outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of residual model spread and the possibility of brief clear spells allowing slightly higher readings before any cooling precipitation arrives. Updated model runs and local nowcasts will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,841Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and international models indicate a high of 34–35°C on August 25, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and convective activity that limits peak solar heating after the end of the "Great Heat" period. High humidity and potential afternoon rain further moderate daytime maxima, consistent with climatological trends of declining August temperatures in the Sichuan Basin. Market-implied odds favor 36°C (36.5%) and 35–37°C ranges as leading outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of residual model spread and the possibility of brief clear spells allowing slightly higher readings before any cooling precipitation arrives. Updated model runs and local nowcasts will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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