Recent National Weather Service and private model runs for Dallas on August 25 show highs centered in the low- to mid-100s°F under lingering high pressure, with limited moisture and southwesterly flow supporting modest afternoon heating. A tropical system threat noted in long-range guidance could introduce cloud cover or brief cooling, keeping the most probable range near 102–105°F and explaining the market’s heavy weighting there. Historical late-August baselines for the region average near 95°F, so current conditions reflect an ongoing heat dome with only gradual seasonal moderation. Updated short-range model cycles and any new tropical steering signals expected tomorrow remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Dallas on August 25?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 25?
102-103°F 43%
104-105°F 25%
110-111°F 16%
106-107°F 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
99°F or below
5%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
43%
104-105°F
25%
106-107°F
14%
108-109°F
10%
110-111°F
16%
112-113°F
4%
114-115°F
4%
116-117°F
4%
118°F or higher
3%
102-103°F 43%
104-105°F 25%
110-111°F 16%
106-107°F 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
99°F or below
$10 Wol.
5%
100-101°F
$5 Wol.
4%
102-103°F
$64 Wol.
43%
104-105°F
$171 Wol.
25%
106-107°F
$0 Wol.
14%
108-109°F
$2 Wol.
10%
110-111°F
$10 Wol.
16%
112-113°F
$10 Wol.
4%
114-115°F
$10 Wol.
4%
116-117°F
$5 Wol.
4%
118°F or higher
$5 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model runs for Dallas on August 25 show highs centered in the low- to mid-100s°F under lingering high pressure, with limited moisture and southwesterly flow supporting modest afternoon heating. A tropical system threat noted in long-range guidance could introduce cloud cover or brief cooling, keeping the most probable range near 102–105°F and explaining the market’s heavy weighting there. Historical late-August baselines for the region average near 95°F, so current conditions reflect an ongoing heat dome with only gradual seasonal moderation. Updated short-range model cycles and any new tropical steering signals expected tomorrow remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$292Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model runs for Dallas on August 25 show highs centered in the low- to mid-100s°F under lingering high pressure, with limited moisture and southwesterly flow supporting modest afternoon heating. A tropical system threat noted in long-range guidance could introduce cloud cover or brief cooling, keeping the most probable range near 102–105°F and explaining the market’s heavy weighting there. Historical late-August baselines for the region average near 95°F, so current conditions reflect an ongoing heat dome with only gradual seasonal moderation. Updated short-range model cycles and any new tropical steering signals expected tomorrow remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$292Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model runs for Dallas on August 25 show highs centered in the low- to mid-100s°F under lingering high pressure, with limited moisture and southwesterly flow supporting modest afternoon heating. A tropical system threat noted in long-range guidance could introduce cloud cover or brief cooling, keeping the most probable range near 102–105°F and explaining the market’s heavy weighting there. Historical late-August baselines for the region average near 95°F, so current conditions reflect an ongoing heat dome with only gradual seasonal moderation. Updated short-range model cycles and any new tropical steering signals expected tomorrow remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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