Current model consensus from global and regional ensembles, including influences from INMET guidance, supports overnight lows in São Paulo near 13–15°C for August 25 amid southeasterly flow and modest cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Subtle differences among these thresholds hinge on the precise arrival and strength of any Patagonian cold front, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat island effects at official stations, which can add 1–2°C locally. Historical August climatology averages around 13–16°C minima, so trader clustering reflects limited deviation from baseline under stable winter conditions, with resolution hinging on the 24-hour minimum recorded by INMET.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 25?
16°C 49%
13°C 34%
14°C 32%
15°C 23%
9°C or below
14%
10°C
5%
11°C
8%
12°C
9%
13°C
34%
14°C
32%
15°C
23%
16°C
49%
17°C
14%
18°C
14%
19°C or higher
2%
16°C 49%
13°C 34%
14°C 32%
15°C 23%
9°C or below
14%
10°C
5%
11°C
8%
12°C
9%
13°C
34%
14°C
32%
15°C
23%
16°C
49%
17°C
14%
18°C
14%
19°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from global and regional ensembles, including influences from INMET guidance, supports overnight lows in São Paulo near 13–15°C for August 25 amid southeasterly flow and modest cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Subtle differences among these thresholds hinge on the precise arrival and strength of any Patagonian cold front, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat island effects at official stations, which can add 1–2°C locally. Historical August climatology averages around 13–16°C minima, so trader clustering reflects limited deviation from baseline under stable winter conditions, with resolution hinging on the 24-hour minimum recorded by INMET.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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