Current National Weather Service and private forecast models indicate sunny conditions with southwest winds of 10-15 mph for New York City on August 24, supporting highs primarily in the upper 70s to low 80s. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 80-81°F (56.5% implied probability) and 78-79°F (27%), near or slightly below the 1991-2020 climatological average high of 82.3°F. Recent model runs show a building surface high and limited moisture return after scattered showers on August 23, reducing the chance of significant warming or convective cooling. Historical August variability and ensemble spread keep modest probability on 82-83°F, while lower bins remain unlikely absent an unexpected cold front. Updated NWS guidance and morning observations on August 24 will provide the final resolution data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on August 24?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 24?
80-81°F 56%
78-79°F 27%
82-83°F 13%
76-77°F 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
56%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
3%
86°F or higher
2%
80-81°F 56%
78-79°F 27%
82-83°F 13%
76-77°F 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
67°F or below
$43 Wol.
<1%
68-69°F
$43 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$43 Wol.
<1%
72-73°F
$48 Wol.
1%
74-75°F
$159 Wol.
2%
76-77°F
$167 Wol.
4%
78-79°F
$459 Wol.
27%
80-81°F
$554 Wol.
56%
82-83°F
$357 Wol.
13%
84-85°F
$43 Wol.
3%
86°F or higher
$60 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private forecast models indicate sunny conditions with southwest winds of 10-15 mph for New York City on August 24, supporting highs primarily in the upper 70s to low 80s. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 80-81°F (56.5% implied probability) and 78-79°F (27%), near or slightly below the 1991-2020 climatological average high of 82.3°F. Recent model runs show a building surface high and limited moisture return after scattered showers on August 23, reducing the chance of significant warming or convective cooling. Historical August variability and ensemble spread keep modest probability on 82-83°F, while lower bins remain unlikely absent an unexpected cold front. Updated NWS guidance and morning observations on August 24 will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,976Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private forecast models indicate sunny conditions with southwest winds of 10-15 mph for New York City on August 24, supporting highs primarily in the upper 70s to low 80s. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 80-81°F (56.5% implied probability) and 78-79°F (27%), near or slightly below the 1991-2020 climatological average high of 82.3°F. Recent model runs show a building surface high and limited moisture return after scattered showers on August 23, reducing the chance of significant warming or convective cooling. Historical August variability and ensemble spread keep modest probability on 82-83°F, while lower bins remain unlikely absent an unexpected cold front. Updated NWS guidance and morning observations on August 24 will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,976Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and private forecast models indicate sunny conditions with southwest winds of 10-15 mph for New York City on August 24, supporting highs primarily in the upper 70s to low 80s. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 80-81°F (56.5% implied probability) and 78-79°F (27%), near or slightly below the 1991-2020 climatological average high of 82.3°F. Recent model runs show a building surface high and limited moisture return after scattered showers on August 23, reducing the chance of significant warming or convective cooling. Historical August variability and ensemble spread keep modest probability on 82-83°F, while lower bins remain unlikely absent an unexpected cold front. Updated NWS guidance and morning observations on August 24 will provide the final resolution data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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