**Persistent low-pressure trough activity and associated showers are the dominant drivers capping maximum temperatures in Hong Kong on August 25.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a high near 30°C under mostly cloudy skies with showers and squally thunderstorms that may intensify during the day, supported by south to southwest winds of force 4–6 and relative humidity of 75–95%. These conditions limit solar heating through extensive cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rainfall, consistent with multiple model runs showing daily maxima clustered between 29–31°C. Trader sentiment splits between 30–32°C outcomes because thunderstorm timing and intensity remain uncertain—earlier or heavier convection could suppress readings toward 29°C, while any temporary breaks in cloud cover might allow brief spikes near 32°C. Historical August climatology supports this range under similar trough influences, with resolution hinging on the next 48-hour forecast updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 25?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 25?
31°C 32%
30°C 26%
32°C 23%
29°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
13%
30°C
26%
31°C
32%
32°C
23%
33°C
6%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
2%
31°C 32%
30°C 26%
32°C 23%
29°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
$10 Wol.
1%
26°C
$167 Wol.
1%
27°C
$45 Wol.
2%
28°C
$2,143 Wol.
6%
29°C
$66 Wol.
13%
30°C
$65 Wol.
26%
31°C
$78 Wol.
32%
32°C
$382 Wol.
23%
33°C
$529 Wol.
6%
34°C
$306 Wol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$145 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Persistent low-pressure trough activity and associated showers are the dominant drivers capping maximum temperatures in Hong Kong on August 25.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a high near 30°C under mostly cloudy skies with showers and squally thunderstorms that may intensify during the day, supported by south to southwest winds of force 4–6 and relative humidity of 75–95%. These conditions limit solar heating through extensive cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rainfall, consistent with multiple model runs showing daily maxima clustered between 29–31°C. Trader sentiment splits between 30–32°C outcomes because thunderstorm timing and intensity remain uncertain—earlier or heavier convection could suppress readings toward 29°C, while any temporary breaks in cloud cover might allow brief spikes near 32°C. Historical August climatology supports this range under similar trough influences, with resolution hinging on the next 48-hour forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,936Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Persistent low-pressure trough activity and associated showers are the dominant drivers capping maximum temperatures in Hong Kong on August 25.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a high near 30°C under mostly cloudy skies with showers and squally thunderstorms that may intensify during the day, supported by south to southwest winds of force 4–6 and relative humidity of 75–95%. These conditions limit solar heating through extensive cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rainfall, consistent with multiple model runs showing daily maxima clustered between 29–31°C. Trader sentiment splits between 30–32°C outcomes because thunderstorm timing and intensity remain uncertain—earlier or heavier convection could suppress readings toward 29°C, while any temporary breaks in cloud cover might allow brief spikes near 32°C. Historical August climatology supports this range under similar trough influences, with resolution hinging on the next 48-hour forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$3,936Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent low-pressure trough activity and associated showers are the dominant drivers capping maximum temperatures in Hong Kong on August 25.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a high near 30°C under mostly cloudy skies with showers and squally thunderstorms that may intensify during the day, supported by south to southwest winds of force 4–6 and relative humidity of 75–95%. These conditions limit solar heating through extensive cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rainfall, consistent with multiple model runs showing daily maxima clustered between 29–31°C. Trader sentiment splits between 30–32°C outcomes because thunderstorm timing and intensity remain uncertain—earlier or heavier convection could suppress readings toward 29°C, while any temporary breaks in cloud cover might allow brief spikes near 32°C. Historical August climatology supports this range under similar trough influences, with resolution hinging on the next 48-hour forecast updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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