Recent meteorological model consensus points to a daily maximum near 38–39°C in Jeddah on August 26, driven by typical late-summer Red Sea coastal conditions with elevated humidity, light northwesterly flow, and limited overnight cooling. Seasonal outlooks from the National Center for Meteorology indicate temperatures running 1–1.6°C above the long-term August average high of roughly 38°C across western Saudi Arabia, supporting the market’s leading outcomes of 38°C (31.5%) and 39°C or higher (48.5%). Stable guidance through the next 24–48 hours shows no significant synoptic shifts or intensification, though small forecast revisions on the final model runs could still adjust the precise peak within the 37–40°C envelope. Traders weigh this climatological baseline and model agreement when pricing the resolution thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 26?
39°C or higher 49%
38°C 32%
37°C 16%
36°C 5%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
5%
37°C
16%
38°C
32%
39°C or higher
49%
39°C or higher 49%
38°C 32%
37°C 16%
36°C 5%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
5%
37°C
16%
38°C
32%
39°C or higher
49%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological model consensus points to a daily maximum near 38–39°C in Jeddah on August 26, driven by typical late-summer Red Sea coastal conditions with elevated humidity, light northwesterly flow, and limited overnight cooling. Seasonal outlooks from the National Center for Meteorology indicate temperatures running 1–1.6°C above the long-term August average high of roughly 38°C across western Saudi Arabia, supporting the market’s leading outcomes of 38°C (31.5%) and 39°C or higher (48.5%). Stable guidance through the next 24–48 hours shows no significant synoptic shifts or intensification, though small forecast revisions on the final model runs could still adjust the precise peak within the 37–40°C envelope. Traders weigh this climatological baseline and model agreement when pricing the resolution thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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