Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and surrounding NYC stations indicate an overnight low in the mid-60s on August 25 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds. This setup favors moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 80°F, consistent with late-summer climatology when dew points in the upper 50s limit further temperature drops. Trader sentiment remains closely divided between the 64-65°F and 66-67°F bins because subtle differences in cloud cover timing, urban heat island retention, and exact wind speeds can shift the minimum by 1-2°F. No major weather systems or model divergence appear in the latest runs, keeping longer-tail outcomes below 10% implied probability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on August 25?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 25?
66-67°F 33%
64-65°F 32%
68-69°F 21%
62-63°F 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
53°F or below
1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
10%
64-65°F
32%
66-67°F
33%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
9%
72°F or higher
2%
66-67°F 33%
64-65°F 32%
68-69°F 21%
62-63°F 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
53°F or below
$5 Wol.
1%
54-55°F
$110 Wol.
<1%
56-57°F
$10 Wol.
1%
58-59°F
$10 Wol.
3%
60-61°F
$495 Wol.
2%
62-63°F
$127 Wol.
10%
64-65°F
$109 Wol.
32%
66-67°F
$118 Wol.
33%
68-69°F
$193 Wol.
21%
70-71°F
$0 Wol.
9%
72°F or higher
$25 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and surrounding NYC stations indicate an overnight low in the mid-60s on August 25 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds. This setup favors moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 80°F, consistent with late-summer climatology when dew points in the upper 50s limit further temperature drops. Trader sentiment remains closely divided between the 64-65°F and 66-67°F bins because subtle differences in cloud cover timing, urban heat island retention, and exact wind speeds can shift the minimum by 1-2°F. No major weather systems or model divergence appear in the latest runs, keeping longer-tail outcomes below 10% implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,202Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and surrounding NYC stations indicate an overnight low in the mid-60s on August 25 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds. This setup favors moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 80°F, consistent with late-summer climatology when dew points in the upper 50s limit further temperature drops. Trader sentiment remains closely divided between the 64-65°F and 66-67°F bins because subtle differences in cloud cover timing, urban heat island retention, and exact wind speeds can shift the minimum by 1-2°F. No major weather systems or model divergence appear in the latest runs, keeping longer-tail outcomes below 10% implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,202Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and surrounding NYC stations indicate an overnight low in the mid-60s on August 25 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds. This setup favors moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 80°F, consistent with late-summer climatology when dew points in the upper 50s limit further temperature drops. Trader sentiment remains closely divided between the 64-65°F and 66-67°F bins because subtle differences in cloud cover timing, urban heat island retention, and exact wind speeds can shift the minimum by 1-2°F. No major weather systems or model divergence appear in the latest runs, keeping longer-tail outcomes below 10% implied probability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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