Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul and Incheon will likely see a daytime maximum near 30–32°C on August 24 amid lingering summer warmth and moderate humidity levels typical for late August. Persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover support these values, though any increase in onshore flow or scattered showers could cap the peak closer to 30°C. The market’s concentration around 31°C reflects trader alignment with ensemble guidance and historical analogs showing average late-August highs of 29–31°C after early-month extremes. Updated short-range runs and official briefings on the 23rd represent the next key data points that could shift implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 24?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 24?
31°C 38%
30°C 26%
29°C 14%
32°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
14%
30°C
26%
31°C
38%
32°C
18%
33°C or higher
4%
31°C 38%
30°C 26%
29°C 14%
32°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
$266 Wol.
1%
24°C
$276 Wol.
1%
25°C
$115 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$5 Wol.
1%
27°C
$0 Wol.
1%
28°C
$10 Wol.
5%
29°C
$25 Wol.
14%
30°C
$41 Wol.
26%
31°C
$98 Wol.
38%
32°C
$28 Wol.
18%
33°C or higher
$0 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul and Incheon will likely see a daytime maximum near 30–32°C on August 24 amid lingering summer warmth and moderate humidity levels typical for late August. Persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover support these values, though any increase in onshore flow or scattered showers could cap the peak closer to 30°C. The market’s concentration around 31°C reflects trader alignment with ensemble guidance and historical analogs showing average late-August highs of 29–31°C after early-month extremes. Updated short-range runs and official briefings on the 23rd represent the next key data points that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$864Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul and Incheon will likely see a daytime maximum near 30–32°C on August 24 amid lingering summer warmth and moderate humidity levels typical for late August. Persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover support these values, though any increase in onshore flow or scattered showers could cap the peak closer to 30°C. The market’s concentration around 31°C reflects trader alignment with ensemble guidance and historical analogs showing average late-August highs of 29–31°C after early-month extremes. Updated short-range runs and official briefings on the 23rd represent the next key data points that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$864Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul and Incheon will likely see a daytime maximum near 30–32°C on August 24 amid lingering summer warmth and moderate humidity levels typical for late August. Persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover support these values, though any increase in onshore flow or scattered showers could cap the peak closer to 30°C. The market’s concentration around 31°C reflects trader alignment with ensemble guidance and historical analogs showing average late-August highs of 29–31°C after early-month extremes. Updated short-range runs and official briefings on the 23rd represent the next key data points that could shift implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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