Short-term forecast uncertainty two days ahead drives the closely matched 50% probabilities across 32–35°C highs for Busan on August 24. Late-August conditions under the North Pacific High typically deliver southerly flows with daytime maxima near 30°C, moderated by coastal sea breezes and high humidity around 70–80%. Ensemble model spreads arise from minor differences in cloud cover reducing insolation, subtle shifts in steering winds, or isolated showers that could cap temperatures at the lower end versus clearer skies allowing peaks near 35°C. Historical August averages hover at 29–31°C, with occasional excursions above 34°C during stronger subtropical ridge influence, leaving traders weighting the central range while assigning low odds to extremes outside it.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Busan on August 24?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 24?
35°C 40%
34°C 37%
36°C 20%
33°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
10%
33°C
14%
34°C
30%
35°C
40%
36°C
20%
37°C
7%
38°C or higher
6%
35°C 40%
34°C 37%
36°C 20%
33°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
29°C
$0 Wol.
1%
30°C
$0 Wol.
1%
31°C
$0 Wol.
1%
32°C
$0 Wol.
10%
33°C
$18 Wol.
14%
34°C
$50 Wol.
30%
35°C
$46 Wol.
40%
36°C
$13 Wol.
20%
37°C
$0 Wol.
7%
38°C or higher
$0 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty two days ahead drives the closely matched 50% probabilities across 32–35°C highs for Busan on August 24. Late-August conditions under the North Pacific High typically deliver southerly flows with daytime maxima near 30°C, moderated by coastal sea breezes and high humidity around 70–80%. Ensemble model spreads arise from minor differences in cloud cover reducing insolation, subtle shifts in steering winds, or isolated showers that could cap temperatures at the lower end versus clearer skies allowing peaks near 35°C. Historical August averages hover at 29–31°C, with occasional excursions above 34°C during stronger subtropical ridge influence, leaving traders weighting the central range while assigning low odds to extremes outside it.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$127Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty two days ahead drives the closely matched 50% probabilities across 32–35°C highs for Busan on August 24. Late-August conditions under the North Pacific High typically deliver southerly flows with daytime maxima near 30°C, moderated by coastal sea breezes and high humidity around 70–80%. Ensemble model spreads arise from minor differences in cloud cover reducing insolation, subtle shifts in steering winds, or isolated showers that could cap temperatures at the lower end versus clearer skies allowing peaks near 35°C. Historical August averages hover at 29–31°C, with occasional excursions above 34°C during stronger subtropical ridge influence, leaving traders weighting the central range while assigning low odds to extremes outside it.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$127Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecast uncertainty two days ahead drives the closely matched 50% probabilities across 32–35°C highs for Busan on August 24. Late-August conditions under the North Pacific High typically deliver southerly flows with daytime maxima near 30°C, moderated by coastal sea breezes and high humidity around 70–80%. Ensemble model spreads arise from minor differences in cloud cover reducing insolation, subtle shifts in steering winds, or isolated showers that could cap temperatures at the lower end versus clearer skies allowing peaks near 35°C. Historical August averages hover at 29–31°C, with occasional excursions above 34°C during stronger subtropical ridge influence, leaving traders weighting the central range while assigning low odds to extremes outside it.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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