A shallow marine layer of roughly 1,000 feet, combined with persistent onshore northwest flow and patchy coastal stratus, is the dominant driver keeping overnight minimums near or slightly below the 58°F August climatological average for San Francisco. NWS guidance and recent model runs point to lows in the mid- to upper-50s under mostly cloudy to hazy conditions, with limited radiative cooling due to the inversion and marine influence. This setup supports the market’s emphasis on the 58-59°F and 54-55°F bins while the elevated probability on 49°F or below reflects trader awareness of forecast uncertainty, potential marine-layer deepening, and historical variability in coastal minimums when stratus lingers. Updated NWS briefings and morning observations will refine these ranges ahead of the daily low’s official recording.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in San Francisco on August 25?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on August 25?
49°F or below 96%
58-59°F 52%
54-55°F 27%
56-57°F 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
49°F or below
96%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
27%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
28%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F or higher
<1%
49°F or below 96%
58-59°F 52%
54-55°F 27%
56-57°F 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
49°F or below
$10 Wol.
96%
50-51°F
$75 Wol.
1%
52-53°F
$270 Wol.
1%
54-55°F
$0 Wol.
27%
56-57°F
$0 Wol.
27%
58-59°F
$23 Wol.
28%
60-61°F
$0 Wol.
27%
62-63°F
$265 Wol.
<1%
64-65°F
$410 Wol.
<1%
66-67°F
$205 Wol.
<1%
68°F or higher
$483 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A shallow marine layer of roughly 1,000 feet, combined with persistent onshore northwest flow and patchy coastal stratus, is the dominant driver keeping overnight minimums near or slightly below the 58°F August climatological average for San Francisco. NWS guidance and recent model runs point to lows in the mid- to upper-50s under mostly cloudy to hazy conditions, with limited radiative cooling due to the inversion and marine influence. This setup supports the market’s emphasis on the 58-59°F and 54-55°F bins while the elevated probability on 49°F or below reflects trader awareness of forecast uncertainty, potential marine-layer deepening, and historical variability in coastal minimums when stratus lingers. Updated NWS briefings and morning observations will refine these ranges ahead of the daily low’s official recording.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,741Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A shallow marine layer of roughly 1,000 feet, combined with persistent onshore northwest flow and patchy coastal stratus, is the dominant driver keeping overnight minimums near or slightly below the 58°F August climatological average for San Francisco. NWS guidance and recent model runs point to lows in the mid- to upper-50s under mostly cloudy to hazy conditions, with limited radiative cooling due to the inversion and marine influence. This setup supports the market’s emphasis on the 58-59°F and 54-55°F bins while the elevated probability on 49°F or below reflects trader awareness of forecast uncertainty, potential marine-layer deepening, and historical variability in coastal minimums when stratus lingers. Updated NWS briefings and morning observations will refine these ranges ahead of the daily low’s official recording.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,741Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...A shallow marine layer of roughly 1,000 feet, combined with persistent onshore northwest flow and patchy coastal stratus, is the dominant driver keeping overnight minimums near or slightly below the 58°F August climatological average for San Francisco. NWS guidance and recent model runs point to lows in the mid- to upper-50s under mostly cloudy to hazy conditions, with limited radiative cooling due to the inversion and marine influence. This setup supports the market’s emphasis on the 58-59°F and 54-55°F bins while the elevated probability on 49°F or below reflects trader awareness of forecast uncertainty, potential marine-layer deepening, and historical variability in coastal minimums when stratus lingers. Updated NWS briefings and morning observations will refine these ranges ahead of the daily low’s official recording.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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