**Trader consensus for Manila’s August 27 maximum temperature centers on 30–31 °C**, reflecting the typical southwest monsoon regime that brings frequent afternoon thunderstorms and thick cloud cover during late August. These conditions limit daytime heating, keeping daily highs near the 30–31 °C climatological average despite high humidity and sea-surface temperatures around 29 °C that would otherwise support stronger warming. Short-term model guidance from PAGASA and international centers shows scattered showers persisting through the 27th, with any breaks in cloud cover offering only marginal upside to 32 °C or brief suppression to 29 °C. The tight spread between the two leading outcomes underscores uncertainty in exact rain timing and intensity rather than broader seasonal anomalies.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on August 27?
30°C 35%
31°C 34%
29°C 15%
32°C 13%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
15%
30°C
35%
31°C
34%
32°C
13%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 35%
31°C 34%
29°C 15%
32°C 13%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
15%
30°C
35%
31°C
34%
32°C
13%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus for Manila’s August 27 maximum temperature centers on 30–31 °C**, reflecting the typical southwest monsoon regime that brings frequent afternoon thunderstorms and thick cloud cover during late August. These conditions limit daytime heating, keeping daily highs near the 30–31 °C climatological average despite high humidity and sea-surface temperatures around 29 °C that would otherwise support stronger warming. Short-term model guidance from PAGASA and international centers shows scattered showers persisting through the 27th, with any breaks in cloud cover offering only marginal upside to 32 °C or brief suppression to 29 °C. The tight spread between the two leading outcomes underscores uncertainty in exact rain timing and intensity rather than broader seasonal anomalies.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania