Recent KMA forecasts indicate a maximum of 32°C for Incheon on August 25 under mostly cloudy skies with only a 20% precipitation chance, consistent with late-summer patterns where daytime heating peaks amid high humidity. Trader consensus clusters around 29–31°C because ensemble models show variable cloud cover and possible weak frontal influences that could limit peak temperatures below the official guidance. Key differentiating factors include the strength of the subtropical high, afternoon mixing depth, and any late-day sea-breeze effects from the Yellow Sea, which historically cap extremes near 30°C in the Seoul metro area. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely drive further market movement as resolution approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 25?
30°C 32%
31°C 25%
29°C 22%
28°C 8%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
8%
29°C
22%
30°C
32%
31°C
25%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
2%
30°C 32%
31°C 25%
29°C 22%
28°C 8%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
8%
29°C
22%
30°C
32%
31°C
25%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA forecasts indicate a maximum of 32°C for Incheon on August 25 under mostly cloudy skies with only a 20% precipitation chance, consistent with late-summer patterns where daytime heating peaks amid high humidity. Trader consensus clusters around 29–31°C because ensemble models show variable cloud cover and possible weak frontal influences that could limit peak temperatures below the official guidance. Key differentiating factors include the strength of the subtropical high, afternoon mixing depth, and any late-day sea-breeze effects from the Yellow Sea, which historically cap extremes near 30°C in the Seoul metro area. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely drive further market movement as resolution approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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