**Current observational data and forecast consensus from European meteorological sources indicate a daily maximum of 27°C in Amsterdam on August 27, 2026.** Afternoon readings at Schiphol reached 26°C under partly cloudy conditions with easterly winds, aligning with model runs projecting a peak near 27°C (81°F) before evening thunderstorms develop. This places the outcome well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21.4°C yet below historical extremes like the 32.3°C record from 2019. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability reflects the tight clustering of official guidance around this threshold, with minimal upside risk from late-day heating given increasing cloud cover and precipitation chances after 18:00 local time. Resolution hinges on the verified 24-hour maximum from authoritative stations; only a substantial model revision or unforecast warm advection could push it higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 27?
27°C 100.0%
28°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$62,310 Wol.
$62,310 Wol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
28°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$62,310 Wol.
$62,310 Wol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current observational data and forecast consensus from European meteorological sources indicate a daily maximum of 27°C in Amsterdam on August 27, 2026.** Afternoon readings at Schiphol reached 26°C under partly cloudy conditions with easterly winds, aligning with model runs projecting a peak near 27°C (81°F) before evening thunderstorms develop. This places the outcome well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21.4°C yet below historical extremes like the 32.3°C record from 2019. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability reflects the tight clustering of official guidance around this threshold, with minimal upside risk from late-day heating given increasing cloud cover and precipitation chances after 18:00 local time. Resolution hinges on the verified 24-hour maximum from authoritative stations; only a substantial model revision or unforecast warm advection could push it higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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