Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature for Amsterdam on August 27 around 15–18°C, driven by a shift to southeasterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling overnight. This setup follows several days of above-normal warmth earlier in August, with current guidance showing the night of the 26th–27th staying relatively mild due to elevated dew points near 15°C and light winds. Historical late-August averages near 13°C provide context, but the near-term pattern favors the market's clustering around 16°C as the most probable outcome. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 27?
16°C 51%
18°C 49%
19°C 45%
17°C 31%
13°C or below
15%
14°C
16%
15°C
22%
16°C
51%
17°C
31%
18°C
49%
19°C
45%
20°C
8%
21°C
8%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
10%
16°C 51%
18°C 49%
19°C 45%
17°C 31%
13°C or below
15%
14°C
16%
15°C
22%
16°C
51%
17°C
31%
18°C
49%
19°C
45%
20°C
8%
21°C
8%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature for Amsterdam on August 27 around 15–18°C, driven by a shift to southeasterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling overnight. This setup follows several days of above-normal warmth earlier in August, with current guidance showing the night of the 26th–27th staying relatively mild due to elevated dew points near 15°C and light winds. Historical late-August averages near 13°C provide context, but the near-term pattern favors the market's clustering around 16°C as the most probable outcome. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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