Recent MetService and Met Office forecasts point to a 15°C high in Wellington on August 25 under fine conditions with northwesterly winds, aligning with the market's secondary 15°C outcome but trailing the leading 16°C probability. Northwesterlies are the primary driver, advecting milder air ahead of a high-pressure system settling over the region after earlier polar outbreaks, pushing daytime maxima 2–3°C above the long-term August average near 13°C. Model consensus remains tight with limited spread, though slight warming in updated runs could support the implied 58.5% chance for 16°C if winds strengthen or mixing improves. El Niño influences this winter have favored variable temperatures overall, but current steering patterns favor the 15–17°C cluster dominating trader positioning ahead of tomorrow's official observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on August 25?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 25?
16°C 59%
17°C 25%
15°C 14%
18°C 4%
NOWE
$11,172 Wol.
NOWE
$11,172 Wol.
Aug 25, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
14%
16°C
59%
17°C
25%
18°C
4%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 59%
17°C 25%
15°C 14%
18°C 4%
NOWE
$11,172 Wol.
NOWE
$11,172 Wol.
Aug 25, 2026
10°C or below
$239 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$239 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$239 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$252 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$948 Wol.
2%
15°C
$1,986 Wol.
14%
16°C
$2,959 Wol.
59%
17°C
$2,120 Wol.
25%
18°C
$826 Wol.
4%
19°C
$207 Wol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$1,197 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and Met Office forecasts point to a 15°C high in Wellington on August 25 under fine conditions with northwesterly winds, aligning with the market's secondary 15°C outcome but trailing the leading 16°C probability. Northwesterlies are the primary driver, advecting milder air ahead of a high-pressure system settling over the region after earlier polar outbreaks, pushing daytime maxima 2–3°C above the long-term August average near 13°C. Model consensus remains tight with limited spread, though slight warming in updated runs could support the implied 58.5% chance for 16°C if winds strengthen or mixing improves. El Niño influences this winter have favored variable temperatures overall, but current steering patterns favor the 15–17°C cluster dominating trader positioning ahead of tomorrow's official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$11,172Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and Met Office forecasts point to a 15°C high in Wellington on August 25 under fine conditions with northwesterly winds, aligning with the market's secondary 15°C outcome but trailing the leading 16°C probability. Northwesterlies are the primary driver, advecting milder air ahead of a high-pressure system settling over the region after earlier polar outbreaks, pushing daytime maxima 2–3°C above the long-term August average near 13°C. Model consensus remains tight with limited spread, though slight warming in updated runs could support the implied 58.5% chance for 16°C if winds strengthen or mixing improves. El Niño influences this winter have favored variable temperatures overall, but current steering patterns favor the 15–17°C cluster dominating trader positioning ahead of tomorrow's official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$11,172Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService and Met Office forecasts point to a 15°C high in Wellington on August 25 under fine conditions with northwesterly winds, aligning with the market's secondary 15°C outcome but trailing the leading 16°C probability. Northwesterlies are the primary driver, advecting milder air ahead of a high-pressure system settling over the region after earlier polar outbreaks, pushing daytime maxima 2–3°C above the long-term August average near 13°C. Model consensus remains tight with limited spread, though slight warming in updated runs could support the implied 58.5% chance for 16°C if winds strengthen or mixing improves. El Niño influences this winter have favored variable temperatures overall, but current steering patterns favor the 15–17°C cluster dominating trader positioning ahead of tomorrow's official observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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