Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a maximum of 33–34°C on August 26, consistent with trader emphasis on those outcomes amid the broader summer heat pattern. Persistent Pacific high pressure has driven above-normal temperatures across Honshu, with historical late-August averages near 31°C serving as the baseline. Key variables include potential scattered showers and increased cloud cover, which could limit afternoon heating and favor 33–34°C, versus clearer conditions allowing a push toward 35°C. Ensemble model spreads reflect typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any precipitation, keeping the 34–35°C range dominant while lower probabilities attach to extremes outside recent observational trends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 26?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 26?
34°C 35%
35°C 29%
33°C 16%
36°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
16%
34°C
35%
35°C
29%
36°C
14%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 35%
35°C 29%
33°C 16%
36°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
28°C or below
$1,254 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$1,354 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$12 Wol.
1%
31°C
$115 Wol.
2%
32°C
$263 Wol.
4%
33°C
$239 Wol.
16%
34°C
$230 Wol.
35%
35°C
$331 Wol.
29%
36°C
$927 Wol.
14%
37°C
$142 Wol.
4%
38°C or higher
$3,753 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a maximum of 33–34°C on August 26, consistent with trader emphasis on those outcomes amid the broader summer heat pattern. Persistent Pacific high pressure has driven above-normal temperatures across Honshu, with historical late-August averages near 31°C serving as the baseline. Key variables include potential scattered showers and increased cloud cover, which could limit afternoon heating and favor 33–34°C, versus clearer conditions allowing a push toward 35°C. Ensemble model spreads reflect typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any precipitation, keeping the 34–35°C range dominant while lower probabilities attach to extremes outside recent observational trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,619Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a maximum of 33–34°C on August 26, consistent with trader emphasis on those outcomes amid the broader summer heat pattern. Persistent Pacific high pressure has driven above-normal temperatures across Honshu, with historical late-August averages near 31°C serving as the baseline. Key variables include potential scattered showers and increased cloud cover, which could limit afternoon heating and favor 33–34°C, versus clearer conditions allowing a push toward 35°C. Ensemble model spreads reflect typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any precipitation, keeping the 34–35°C range dominant while lower probabilities attach to extremes outside recent observational trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,619Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a maximum of 33–34°C on August 26, consistent with trader emphasis on those outcomes amid the broader summer heat pattern. Persistent Pacific high pressure has driven above-normal temperatures across Honshu, with historical late-August averages near 31°C serving as the baseline. Key variables include potential scattered showers and increased cloud cover, which could limit afternoon heating and favor 33–34°C, versus clearer conditions allowing a push toward 35°C. Ensemble model spreads reflect typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any precipitation, keeping the 34–35°C range dominant while lower probabilities attach to extremes outside recent observational trends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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