**Current forecasts from MetService-aligned sources, WeatherBug, Met Office, and others indicate a daytime high of 14–16°C (57–59°F) for Wellington on August 26, with northerly to northwesterly winds dominating.** These winds advect milder subtropical air across the region, elevating temperatures above the historical August 26 average high of roughly 12°C while strong gusts (20–35+ km/h) mix the boundary layer and limit extreme daytime warming under mostly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows limited diurnal range, with peaks likely occurring midday to early afternoon before any evening cooling or light showers. Recent stability in upper-level patterns has kept the outlook steady over the past 24–48 hours, supporting trader emphasis on 16°C (63.5% implied probability) and 15°C (22%) as the most probable outcomes, with smaller probabilities on 17°C reflecting minor upside uncertainty from forecast revisions. No major model shifts or atypical synoptic features have emerged to alter this near-term assessment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
16°C 64%
15°C 22%
17°C 12%
14°C 2%
NOWE
$10,289 Wol.
NOWE
$10,289 Wol.
Aug 26, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
22%
16°C
64%
17°C
12%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 64%
15°C 22%
17°C 12%
14°C 2%
NOWE
$10,289 Wol.
NOWE
$10,289 Wol.
Aug 26, 2026
10°C or below
$1,332 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$289 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$703 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$239 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$490 Wol.
2%
15°C
$2,269 Wol.
22%
16°C
$2,493 Wol.
64%
17°C
$1,308 Wol.
12%
18°C
$647 Wol.
2%
19°C
$252 Wol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$269 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from MetService-aligned sources, WeatherBug, Met Office, and others indicate a daytime high of 14–16°C (57–59°F) for Wellington on August 26, with northerly to northwesterly winds dominating.**
These winds advect milder subtropical air across the region, elevating temperatures above the historical August 26 average high of roughly 12°C while strong gusts (20–35+ km/h) mix the boundary layer and limit extreme daytime warming under mostly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows limited diurnal range, with peaks likely occurring midday to early afternoon before any evening cooling or light showers.
Recent stability in upper-level patterns has kept the outlook steady over the past 24–48 hours, supporting trader emphasis on 16°C (63.5% implied probability) and 15°C (22%) as the most probable outcomes, with smaller probabilities on 17°C reflecting minor upside uncertainty from forecast revisions. No major model shifts or atypical synoptic features have emerged to alter this near-term assessment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,289Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from MetService-aligned sources, WeatherBug, Met Office, and others indicate a daytime high of 14–16°C (57–59°F) for Wellington on August 26, with northerly to northwesterly winds dominating.**
These winds advect milder subtropical air across the region, elevating temperatures above the historical August 26 average high of roughly 12°C while strong gusts (20–35+ km/h) mix the boundary layer and limit extreme daytime warming under mostly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows limited diurnal range, with peaks likely occurring midday to early afternoon before any evening cooling or light showers.
Recent stability in upper-level patterns has kept the outlook steady over the past 24–48 hours, supporting trader emphasis on 16°C (63.5% implied probability) and 15°C (22%) as the most probable outcomes, with smaller probabilities on 17°C reflecting minor upside uncertainty from forecast revisions. No major model shifts or atypical synoptic features have emerged to alter this near-term assessment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$10,289Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from MetService-aligned sources, WeatherBug, Met Office, and others indicate a daytime high of 14–16°C (57–59°F) for Wellington on August 26, with northerly to northwesterly winds dominating.** These winds advect milder subtropical air across the region, elevating temperatures above the historical August 26 average high of roughly 12°C while strong gusts (20–35+ km/h) mix the boundary layer and limit extreme daytime warming under mostly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows limited diurnal range, with peaks likely occurring midday to early afternoon before any evening cooling or light showers. Recent stability in upper-level patterns has kept the outlook steady over the past 24–48 hours, supporting trader emphasis on 16°C (63.5% implied probability) and 15°C (22%) as the most probable outcomes, with smaller probabilities on 17°C reflecting minor upside uncertainty from forecast revisions. No major model shifts or atypical synoptic features have emerged to alter this near-term assessment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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